Databricks, the enterprise data and AI platform company, shows no signs of completing an initial public offering by the June 30, 2026 deadline, supporting the market-implied 96.1% probability on that outcome. As of late May 2026, the firm has not filed a public S-1 registration statement with the SEC following its February 2026 funding round at a $134 billion valuation and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate. Analysts project a confidential filing no earlier than Q3 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-twelve-month lead time to listing. CEO comments have left open the possibility of a 2026 debut but emphasize flexibility around market conditions rather than any accelerated timeline. A last-minute regulatory waiver or undisclosed confidential filing could theoretically shift odds, though both remain improbable given the current preparation status.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 96.1%
100–125 Mrd. 1.3%
125–150 Mrd. 1.3%
200–250 Mrd. 1.0%
$412,394 Vol.
$412,394 Vol.
Unter 100 Mrd.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
1%
125–150 Mrd.
1%
150–175 Mrd.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
1%
250 Mrd.+
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
96%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 96.1%
100–125 Mrd. 1.3%
125–150 Mrd. 1.3%
200–250 Mrd. 1.0%
$412,394 Vol.
$412,394 Vol.
Unter 100 Mrd.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
1%
125–150 Mrd.
1%
150–175 Mrd.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
1%
250 Mrd.+
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
96%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks, the enterprise data and AI platform company, shows no signs of completing an initial public offering by the June 30, 2026 deadline, supporting the market-implied 96.1% probability on that outcome. As of late May 2026, the firm has not filed a public S-1 registration statement with the SEC following its February 2026 funding round at a $134 billion valuation and $5.4 billion annualized revenue run rate. Analysts project a confidential filing no earlier than Q3 2026, consistent with the typical six-to-twelve-month lead time to listing. CEO comments have left open the possibility of a 2026 debut but emphasize flexibility around market conditions rather than any accelerated timeline. A last-minute regulatory waiver or undisclosed confidential filing could theoretically shift odds, though both remain improbable given the current preparation status.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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