Databricks traders show strong consensus at 93% implied probability for no IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by CEO Ali Ghodsi's explicit guidance against a near-term public debut, emphasizing sustained private growth via the firm's December 2023 $10 billion funding round at a $43 billion valuation. This lakehouse platform leader, powering AI workloads with tools like DBRX large language models, benefits from robust venture capital access amid a dormant tech IPO market marked by elevated interest rates and valuation scrutiny. Competitive dynamics with Snowflake and private AI labs further reduce urgency for liquidity events. Scenarios challenging this include a broader equity rebound, regulatory easing, or accelerated cash burn from M&A, though none appear imminent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 93.0%
175–200 Mrd. 1.7%
Unter 100 Mrd. 1.0%
125–150 Mrd. <1%
$81,813 Vol.
$81,813 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
1%
100–125 Mrd.
1%
125–150 Mrd.
1%
150–175 Mrd.
1%
175–200 Mrd.
2%
200–250 Mrd.
1%
250 Mrd.+
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
93%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 93.0%
175–200 Mrd. 1.7%
Unter 100 Mrd. 1.0%
125–150 Mrd. <1%
$81,813 Vol.
$81,813 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Unter 100 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
1%
100–125 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
1%
125–150 Mrd.
$21,230 Vol.
1%
150–175 Mrd.
$48,533 Vol.
1%
175–200 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
2%
200–250 Mrd.
$0 Vol.
1%
250 Mrd.+
$0 Vol.
<1%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
$12,050 Vol.
93%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks traders show strong consensus at 93% implied probability for no IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by CEO Ali Ghodsi's explicit guidance against a near-term public debut, emphasizing sustained private growth via the firm's December 2023 $10 billion funding round at a $43 billion valuation. This lakehouse platform leader, powering AI workloads with tools like DBRX large language models, benefits from robust venture capital access amid a dormant tech IPO market marked by elevated interest rates and valuation scrutiny. Competitive dynamics with Snowflake and private AI labs further reduce urgency for liquidity events. Scenarios challenging this include a broader equity rebound, regulatory easing, or accelerated cash burn from M&A, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Volumen
$81,813Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks traders show strong consensus at 93% implied probability for no IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by CEO Ali Ghodsi's explicit guidance against a near-term public debut, emphasizing sustained private growth via the firm's December 2023 $10 billion funding round at a $43 billion valuation. This lakehouse platform leader, powering AI workloads with tools like DBRX large language models, benefits from robust venture capital access amid a dormant tech IPO market marked by elevated interest rates and valuation scrutiny. Competitive dynamics with Snowflake and private AI labs further reduce urgency for liquidity events. Scenarios challenging this include a broader equity rebound, regulatory easing, or accelerated cash burn from M&A, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$81,813Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks traders show strong consensus at 93% implied probability for no IPO by June 30, 2026, anchored by CEO Ali Ghodsi's explicit guidance against a near-term public debut, emphasizing sustained private growth via the firm's December 2023 $10 billion funding round at a $43 billion valuation. This lakehouse platform leader, powering AI workloads with tools like DBRX large language models, benefits from robust venture capital access amid a dormant tech IPO market marked by elevated interest rates and valuation scrutiny. Competitive dynamics with Snowflake and private AI labs further reduce urgency for liquidity events. Scenarios challenging this include a broader equity rebound, regulatory easing, or accelerated cash burn from M&A, though none appear imminent.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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