Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (86.4% implied probability), reflecting the absence of any SEC S-1 filing or official announcement as of early May, with standard preparation timelines—confidential filing, roadshow, and pricing—requiring at least 6-8 weeks for execution. The data analytics leader, powering AI workloads via its lakehouse platform, bolstered liquidity in January 2026 with $1.8 billion in debt and a $5 billion equity round in February at a $134 billion private valuation, reducing urgency amid 65% year-over-year revenue growth to $5.4 billion ARR. Lower odds on market cap ranges (e.g., 100-125B at 6.3%) stem from valuation uncertainty and potential public market discounts, with Q3 S-1 filings eyed as the next catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 90.2%
100–125 Mrd. 6.3%
250 Mrd.+ 4.1%
125–150 Mrd. 1.6%
$402,571 Vol.
$402,571 Vol.
Unter 100 Mrd.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
6%
125–150 Mrd.
2%
150–175 Mrd.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
2%
250 Mrd.+
4%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
87%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026 90.2%
100–125 Mrd. 6.3%
250 Mrd.+ 4.1%
125–150 Mrd. 1.6%
$402,571 Vol.
$402,571 Vol.
Unter 100 Mrd.
<1%
100–125 Mrd.
6%
125–150 Mrd.
2%
150–175 Mrd.
<1%
175–200 Mrd.
<1%
200–250 Mrd.
2%
250 Mrd.+
4%
Kein Börsengang bis zum 30. Juni 2026
87%
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026 (86.4% implied probability), reflecting the absence of any SEC S-1 filing or official announcement as of early May, with standard preparation timelines—confidential filing, roadshow, and pricing—requiring at least 6-8 weeks for execution. The data analytics leader, powering AI workloads via its lakehouse platform, bolstered liquidity in January 2026 with $1.8 billion in debt and a $5 billion equity round in February at a $134 billion private valuation, reducing urgency amid 65% year-over-year revenue growth to $5.4 billion ARR. Lower odds on market cap ranges (e.g., 100-125B at 6.3%) stem from valuation uncertainty and potential public market discounts, with Q3 S-1 filings eyed as the next catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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