Clear Street Group's February 19, 2026, withdrawal of its S-1 IPO filing—after postponing amid investor pushback on a $12 billion valuation target and broader fintech market volatility—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for no IPO before April 2026. The New York-based capital markets platform, known for tech-driven prime brokerage services, had filed confidentially in January but slashed its deal size by 65% to $351 million at $26–$28 per share due to weak demand and AI sector jitters spilling into fintech. With no refiling or roadshow signals in the six weeks since, Polymarket traders see no path to listing. A surprise S-1 refiling and accelerated SEC review could theoretically challenge this, though standard 4–6 week timelines render it highly improbable before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertClear Street Group IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Clear Street Group IPO Closing Marktkapitalisierung
Kein Börsengang vor April 2026 100.0%
<9,0 Mrd. <1%
9,0 Mrd.–9,5 Mrd. <1%
9,5–10,0 Mrd. $ <1%
$53,949 Vol.
$53,949 Vol.
<9,0 Mrd.
Nein
9,0 Mrd.–9,5 Mrd.
Nein
9,5–10,0 Mrd. $
Nein
10,0 Mrd.–10,5 Mrd.
Nein
10,5–11,0 Mrd. $
Nein
11,0–11,5 Mrd.
Nein
11,5–12,0 Mrd.
Nein
12,0 Mrd.+
Nein
Kein Börsengang vor April 2026
Ja
Kein Börsengang vor April 2026 100.0%
<9,0 Mrd. <1%
9,0 Mrd.–9,5 Mrd. <1%
9,5–10,0 Mrd. $ <1%
$53,949 Vol.
$53,949 Vol.
<9,0 Mrd.
Nein
9,0 Mrd.–9,5 Mrd.
Nein
9,5–10,0 Mrd. $
Nein
10,0 Mrd.–10,5 Mrd.
Nein
10,5–11,0 Mrd. $
Nein
11,0–11,5 Mrd.
Nein
11,5–12,0 Mrd.
Nein
12,0 Mrd.+
Nein
Kein Börsengang vor April 2026
Ja
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 5, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on February 13, 2026 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before April 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Clear Street Group's February 19, 2026, withdrawal of its S-1 IPO filing—after postponing amid investor pushback on a $12 billion valuation target and broader fintech market volatility—has locked in trader consensus at 100% implied probability for no IPO before April 2026. The New York-based capital markets platform, known for tech-driven prime brokerage services, had filed confidentially in January but slashed its deal size by 65% to $351 million at $26–$28 per share due to weak demand and AI sector jitters spilling into fintech. With no refiling or roadshow signals in the six weeks since, Polymarket traders see no path to listing. A surprise S-1 refiling and accelerated SEC review could theoretically challenge this, though standard 4–6 week timelines render it highly improbable before month-end.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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