Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability that silver (SI) futures will hit $65 or lower by end-June 2026, reflecting recent downside momentum from elevated real yields and reduced Fed rate cut odds to 11.5% by June amid oil spikes from Iran-Hormuz tensions. Spot silver trades near $69/oz after a volatile week, plunging 28% monthly from $92 amid profit-taking post-January's $112 peak, though late-Friday short covering sparked a green candle surge. Structural bullish drivers persist—sixth straight supply deficit, surging industrial demand from solar, EVs, and AI—but near-term macro risks dominate, with upcoming April CPI, FOMC May meeting, and nonfarm payrolls poised to sway rate path and risk appetite. Odds price only 18% chance of reclaiming $120, signaling caution on rapid rebound.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Silver (SI) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
Wird Silver (SI) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$3,203,608 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
↑ $250
3%
↑ $230
3%
↑ $210
3%
↑ $200
3%
↑ $170
4%
↑ $150
7%
↑ $130
10%
↑ $120
17%
↓ $65
74%
↓ $60
59%
↓ $55
38%
↓ $45
20%
↓ $35
6%
$3,203,608 Vol.
↑ $250
$188,887 Vol.
3%
↑ $230
$52,241 Vol.
3%
↑ $210
$205,435 Vol.
3%
↑ $200
$409,845 Vol.
3%
↑ $170
$148,277 Vol.
4%
↑ $150
$297,408 Vol.
7%
↑ $130
$153,521 Vol.
10%
↑ $120
$819,676 Vol.
17%
↓ $65
$156,982 Vol.
74%
↓ $60
$146,871 Vol.
59%
↓ $55
$126,819 Vol.
38%
↓ $45
$89,520 Vol.
20%
↓ $35
$55,725 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability that silver (SI) futures will hit $65 or lower by end-June 2026, reflecting recent downside momentum from elevated real yields and reduced Fed rate cut odds to 11.5% by June amid oil spikes from Iran-Hormuz tensions. Spot silver trades near $69/oz after a volatile week, plunging 28% monthly from $92 amid profit-taking post-January's $112 peak, though late-Friday short covering sparked a green candle surge. Structural bullish drivers persist—sixth straight supply deficit, surging industrial demand from solar, EVs, and AI—but near-term macro risks dominate, with upcoming April CPI, FOMC May meeting, and nonfarm payrolls poised to sway rate path and risk appetite. Odds price only 18% chance of reclaiming $120, signaling caution on rapid rebound.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 29, 2026, 12:11 PM ET
Volumen
$3,203,608Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability that silver (SI) futures will hit $65 or lower by end-June 2026, reflecting recent downside momentum from elevated real yields and reduced Fed rate cut odds to 11.5% by June amid oil spikes from Iran-Hormuz tensions. Spot silver trades near $69/oz after a volatile week, plunging 28% monthly from $92 amid profit-taking post-January's $112 peak, though late-Friday short covering sparked a green candle surge. Structural bullish drivers persist—sixth straight supply deficit, surging industrial demand from solar, EVs, and AI—but near-term macro risks dominate, with upcoming April CPI, FOMC May meeting, and nonfarm payrolls poised to sway rate path and risk appetite. Odds price only 18% chance of reclaiming $120, signaling caution on rapid rebound.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Volumen
$3,203,608Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability that silver (SI) futures will hit $65 or lower by end-June 2026, reflecting recent downside momentum from elevated real yields and reduced Fed rate cut odds to 11.5% by June amid oil spikes from Iran-Hormuz tensions. Spot silver trades near $69/oz after a volatile week, plunging 28% monthly from $92 amid profit-taking post-January's $112 peak, though late-Friday short covering sparked a green candle surge. Structural bullish drivers persist—sixth straight supply deficit, surging industrial demand from solar, EVs, and AI—but near-term macro risks dominate, with upcoming April CPI, FOMC May meeting, and nonfarm payrolls poised to sway rate path and risk appetite. Odds price only 18% chance of reclaiming $120, signaling caution on rapid rebound.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen