Gold futures (GC) prices have climbed above $2,650/oz amid persistent weakness in the US dollar index (DXY at 103.50) and declining real yields on 10-year TIPS (negative 0.85%), bolstering its appeal as an inflation hedge and safe-haven asset. Recent drivers include central bank purchases exceeding 1,100 tonnes year-to-date—led by China and India—and escalating Middle East tensions, though a hawkish Federal Reserve tone in January's FOMC minutes prompted a 2% pullback last week. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over March-end settlement, with key catalysts including February CPI (due Feb 28), nonfarm payrolls (Mar 7), and the FOMC meeting (Mar 18-19), where markets price a 65% chance of steady 4.25-4.50% fed funds rate. Volatility (GVZ index ~18) signals positioning risks ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$101,179 Vol.
7.000 $
<1%
$6.500
<1%
6.000 $
2%
$5.800
1%
5.600 $
1%
5.400 $
1%
5.200 $
2%
5.000 $
1%
$4.800
19%
$4.600
43%
4.400 $
72%
$4.000
96%
$101,179 Vol.
7.000 $
<1%
$6.500
<1%
6.000 $
2%
$5.800
1%
5.600 $
1%
5.400 $
1%
5.200 $
2%
5.000 $
1%
$4.800
19%
$4.600
43%
4.400 $
72%
$4.000
96%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) prices have climbed above $2,650/oz amid persistent weakness in the US dollar index (DXY at 103.50) and declining real yields on 10-year TIPS (negative 0.85%), bolstering its appeal as an inflation hedge and safe-haven asset. Recent drivers include central bank purchases exceeding 1,100 tonnes year-to-date—led by China and India—and escalating Middle East tensions, though a hawkish Federal Reserve tone in January's FOMC minutes prompted a 2% pullback last week. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over March-end settlement, with key catalysts including February CPI (due Feb 28), nonfarm payrolls (Mar 7), and the FOMC meeting (Mar 18-19), where markets price a 65% chance of steady 4.25-4.50% fed funds rate. Volatility (GVZ index ~18) signals positioning risks ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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