Polymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on gold (GC) June settlement, with the $4,200-$4,600 bin edging out at 18.4% implied probability amid competing views on the Federal Reserve's rate path and macroeconomic tailwinds. Spot gold surged past $2,750 this week—its latest record—fueled by escalating Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven flows, softer-than-expected US jobless claims signaling labor market cooling, and a weakening US dollar ahead of November CPI data. Sustained central bank purchases and declining real Treasury yields from anticipated 2025 rate cuts support bullish positioning, yet fiscal stimulus risks under incoming policy could revive dollar strength and cap gains. Upcoming catalysts include December FOMC projections and Q1 inflation trajectory, pivotal for breaking the deadlock across $3,800-$5,000 bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWorum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
Worum geht es bei Gold (GC) im Juni?
$4.200-$4.600 18.3%
<$3.800 16.1%
4.600–5.000 $ 16%
$3.800-$4.200 15.8%
$836,009 Vol.
$836,009 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$3.800
16%
$3.800-$4.200
16%
$4.200-$4.600
18%
4.600–5.000 $
16%
$5.000-$5.400
13%
$5.400-$5.800
8%
$5.800–$6.200
6%
>6.200 $
7%
$4.200-$4.600 18.3%
<$3.800 16.1%
4.600–5.000 $ 16%
$3.800-$4.200 15.8%
$836,009 Vol.
$836,009 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
<$3.800
$214,722 Vol.
16%
$3.800-$4.200
$37,351 Vol.
16%
$4.200-$4.600
$43,465 Vol.
18%
4.600–5.000 $
$34,712 Vol.
16%
$5.000-$5.400
$45,978 Vol.
13%
$5.400-$5.800
$41,641 Vol.
8%
$5.800–$6.200
$239,363 Vol.
6%
>6.200 $
$178,777 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on gold (GC) June settlement, with the $4,200-$4,600 bin edging out at 18.4% implied probability amid competing views on the Federal Reserve's rate path and macroeconomic tailwinds. Spot gold surged past $2,750 this week—its latest record—fueled by escalating Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven flows, softer-than-expected US jobless claims signaling labor market cooling, and a weakening US dollar ahead of November CPI data. Sustained central bank purchases and declining real Treasury yields from anticipated 2025 rate cuts support bullish positioning, yet fiscal stimulus risks under incoming policy could revive dollar strength and cap gains. Upcoming catalysts include December FOMC projections and Q1 inflation trajectory, pivotal for breaking the deadlock across $3,800-$5,000 bins.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volumen
$836,009Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Polymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on gold (GC) June settlement, with the $4,200-$4,600 bin edging out at 18.4% implied probability amid competing views on the Federal Reserve's rate path and macroeconomic tailwinds. Spot gold surged past $2,750 this week—its latest record—fueled by escalating Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven flows, softer-than-expected US jobless claims signaling labor market cooling, and a weakening US dollar ahead of November CPI data. Sustained central bank purchases and declining real Treasury yields from anticipated 2025 rate cuts support bullish positioning, yet fiscal stimulus risks under incoming policy could revive dollar strength and cap gains. Upcoming catalysts include December FOMC projections and Q1 inflation trajectory, pivotal for breaking the deadlock across $3,800-$5,000 bins.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$836,009Enddatum
Jun 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders show fragmented sentiment on gold (GC) June settlement, with the $4,200-$4,600 bin edging out at 18.4% implied probability amid competing views on the Federal Reserve's rate path and macroeconomic tailwinds. Spot gold surged past $2,750 this week—its latest record—fueled by escalating Middle East tensions boosting safe-haven flows, softer-than-expected US jobless claims signaling labor market cooling, and a weakening US dollar ahead of November CPI data. Sustained central bank purchases and declining real Treasury yields from anticipated 2025 rate cuts support bullish positioning, yet fiscal stimulus risks under incoming policy could revive dollar strength and cap gains. Upcoming catalysts include December FOMC projections and Q1 inflation trajectory, pivotal for breaking the deadlock across $3,800-$5,000 bins.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen