Gold prices have pulled back to around $2,650 per ounce from October 2024 record highs above $2,750, reflecting trader consensus on resilient U.S. economic data tempering Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Key drivers include rising real Treasury yields—10-year note at 4.3%—bolstering the dollar index near 105, which inversely pressures non-yielding gold, alongside easing safe-haven demand as Middle East tensions de-escalate. Central bank purchases, led by China, provide support, but strong January 2025 nonfarm payrolls (256K jobs added) shifted market-implied Fed funds path to just 60 basis points of cuts by mid-year. Watch March 12 CPI release and March 18-19 FOMC meeting for volatility ahead of end-March resolution; sustained inflation above 2.5% could cap upside.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$2,696,894 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
29%
↓ 4.000 $
5%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
$2,696,894 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
29%
↓ 4.000 $
5%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have pulled back to around $2,650 per ounce from October 2024 record highs above $2,750, reflecting trader consensus on resilient U.S. economic data tempering Federal Reserve rate cut expectations. Key drivers include rising real Treasury yields—10-year note at 4.3%—bolstering the dollar index near 105, which inversely pressures non-yielding gold, alongside easing safe-haven demand as Middle East tensions de-escalate. Central bank purchases, led by China, provide support, but strong January 2025 nonfarm payrolls (256K jobs added) shifted market-implied Fed funds path to just 60 basis points of cuts by mid-year. Watch March 12 CPI release and March 18-19 FOMC meeting for volatility ahead of end-March resolution; sustained inflation above 2.5% could cap upside.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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