Gold futures (GC) have surged over 25% year-to-date to near-record levels above $2,700 per ounce, fueled by persistent safe-haven demand amid escalating Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty, alongside aggressive central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024 from nations like China and India. Trader sentiment reflects market-implied odds pricing in further upside potential by end-March, driven by softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data (December CPI at 2.9% YoY) bolstering Federal Reserve rate cut expectations—Fed funds futures now imply a 65% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting. A strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields pose counter-risks, with key catalysts including upcoming PCE inflation (Jan 31 release) and nonfarm payrolls that could shift rate path consensus and gold's real yield sensitivity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
Wird Gold (GC) bis Ende März __ erreichen?
$2,671,124 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
17%
↓ 4.000 $
4%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
$2,671,124 Vol.
↑ $10.000
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.600
<1%
↑ $6.400
<1%
↑ $6.200
<1%
↑ 6.000 $
<1%
↑ 5.800 $
<1%
↑ $5.600
<1%
↑ $5.500
1%
↑ 5.400 $
1%
↓ $4.300
17%
↓ 4.000 $
4%
↓ 3.600 $
1%
↓ $3.000
<1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Gold futures (GC) have surged over 25% year-to-date to near-record levels above $2,700 per ounce, fueled by persistent safe-haven demand amid escalating Middle East tensions and U.S. election uncertainty, alongside aggressive central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes in 2024 from nations like China and India. Trader sentiment reflects market-implied odds pricing in further upside potential by end-March, driven by softer-than-expected U.S. inflation data (December CPI at 2.9% YoY) bolstering Federal Reserve rate cut expectations—Fed funds futures now imply a 65% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the March 18-19 FOMC meeting. A strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields pose counter-risks, with key catalysts including upcoming PCE inflation (Jan 31 release) and nonfarm payrolls that could shift rate path consensus and gold's real yield sensitivity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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