Gold prices, currently trading near $4,450 per ounce after a sharp correction from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, reflect tension between elevated U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve policy. The latest PCE deflator at 4.5% has kept real yields elevated despite policy rates holding at 3.50-3.75%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and capping upside. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions provide a floor through safe-haven demand, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and employment data will shape near-term rate-cut expectations that historically move gold by $50-120 per ounce per 25 basis points of easing. Trader positioning for end-of-June levels hinges on whether inflation moderates enough to allow policy relief or remains sticky enough to sustain higher-for-longer yields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$84,937 Vol.
30. Juni 2026
$8.000
1%
7.000 $
1%
6.500 $
2%
6.200 $
2%
$6.000
3%
$5.800
3%
5.600 $
6%
5.400 $
8%
5.200 $
7%
5.000 $
11%
4.800 $
26%
4.600 $
41%
$84,937 Vol.
$8.000
$3,101 Vol.
1%
7.000 $
$26,787 Vol.
1%
6.500 $
$2,952 Vol.
2%
6.200 $
$9,654 Vol.
2%
$6.000
$4,305 Vol.
3%
$5.800
$8,665 Vol.
3%
5.600 $
$2,678 Vol.
6%
5.400 $
$1,835 Vol.
8%
5.200 $
$3,542 Vol.
7%
5.000 $
$2,257 Vol.
11%
4.800 $
$8,675 Vol.
26%
4.600 $
$10,488 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices, currently trading near $4,450 per ounce after a sharp correction from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, reflect tension between elevated U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve policy. The latest PCE deflator at 4.5% has kept real yields elevated despite policy rates holding at 3.50-3.75%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and capping upside. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions provide a floor through safe-haven demand, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and employment data will shape near-term rate-cut expectations that historically move gold by $50-120 per ounce per 25 basis points of easing. Trader positioning for end-of-June levels hinges on whether inflation moderates enough to allow policy relief or remains sticky enough to sustain higher-for-longer yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Volumen
$84,937Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices, currently trading near $4,450 per ounce after a sharp correction from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, reflect tension between elevated U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve policy. The latest PCE deflator at 4.5% has kept real yields elevated despite policy rates holding at 3.50-3.75%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and capping upside. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions provide a floor through safe-haven demand, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and employment data will shape near-term rate-cut expectations that historically move gold by $50-120 per ounce per 25 basis points of easing. Trader positioning for end-of-June levels hinges on whether inflation moderates enough to allow policy relief or remains sticky enough to sustain higher-for-longer yields.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$84,937Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices, currently trading near $4,450 per ounce after a sharp correction from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, reflect tension between elevated U.S. inflation and Federal Reserve policy. The latest PCE deflator at 4.5% has kept real yields elevated despite policy rates holding at 3.50-3.75%, increasing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and capping upside. Persistent central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions provide a floor through safe-haven demand, while the June 16-17 FOMC meeting and upcoming inflation and employment data will shape near-term rate-cut expectations that historically move gold by $50-120 per ounce per 25 basis points of easing. Trader positioning for end-of-June levels hinges on whether inflation moderates enough to allow policy relief or remains sticky enough to sustain higher-for-longer yields.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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