Trader consensus on Polymarket fragments across silver (SI) futures settlement bins for June, with the highest implied probability at 18% for below $50 reflecting current COMEX levels near $30.50 per ounce amid a modest pullback from May highs above $32. Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI data diminished Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for the June 12 FOMC meeting, strengthening the USD and lifting 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45%, pressuring precious metals. Countering this, robust industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—projected to rise 10% in 2024—plus geopolitical tensions boosting safe-haven flows, sustain bids in $50-$70 ranges at 13.9%-15%. Upcoming June 7 nonfarm payrolls could tip sentiment, with gold-silver ratio above 80 hinting at relative undervaluation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWorauf wird sich Silver (SI) im Juni einigen?
Worauf wird sich Silver (SI) im Juni einigen?
<50 $ 18%
$60-$70 15.5%
$50-$60 14.3%
>115 $ 12%
$420,518 Vol.
$420,518 Vol.
<50 $
18%
$50-$60
14%
$60-$70
16%
$70-$80
11%
80–90 $
9%
$90-$100
12%
$100-$115
8%
>115 $
12%
<50 $ 18%
$60-$70 15.5%
$50-$60 14.3%
>115 $ 12%
$420,518 Vol.
$420,518 Vol.
<50 $
18%
$50-$60
14%
$60-$70
16%
$70-$80
11%
80–90 $
9%
$90-$100
12%
$100-$115
8%
>115 $
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket fragments across silver (SI) futures settlement bins for June, with the highest implied probability at 18% for below $50 reflecting current COMEX levels near $30.50 per ounce amid a modest pullback from May highs above $32. Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI data diminished Federal Reserve rate cut expectations for the June 12 FOMC meeting, strengthening the USD and lifting 10-year Treasury yields to 4.45%, pressuring precious metals. Countering this, robust industrial demand from solar photovoltaics and electronics—projected to rise 10% in 2024—plus geopolitical tensions boosting safe-haven flows, sustain bids in $50-$70 ranges at 13.9%-15%. Upcoming June 7 nonfarm payrolls could tip sentiment, with gold-silver ratio above 80 hinting at relative undervaluation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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