Trader sentiment on Polymarket's June silver (SI) settlement market remains fragmented, with the <$50 outcome leading at a modest 17% implied probability amid closely contested bins reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces. Recent safe-haven flows propelled spot silver above $31/oz last week on Middle East tensions, including Israel's strikes on Iran, while robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics—up 12% YTD—bolsters upside potential alongside Fed rate cut expectations reducing holding costs. Countering this, a firm U.S. dollar index near 104 and softening global manufacturing PMIs introduce downside risks, keeping higher bins like $70-$80 (13.3%) and >$115 (12%) viable. Key differentiators include November CPI data and December FOMC guidance, which could shift the futures curve currently in mild contango around $32 for June 2025.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWorauf wird sich Silver (SI) im Juni einigen?
Worauf wird sich Silver (SI) im Juni einigen?
<50 $ 17%
$50-$60 14.5%
$60-$70 13.7%
$70-$80 13.4%
$423,010 Vol.
$423,010 Vol.
<50 $
17%
$50-$60
14%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
13%
80–90 $
9%
$90-$100
10%
$100-$115
7%
>115 $
12%
<50 $ 17%
$50-$60 14.5%
$60-$70 13.7%
$70-$80 13.4%
$423,010 Vol.
$423,010 Vol.
<50 $
17%
$50-$60
14%
$60-$70
14%
$70-$80
13%
80–90 $
9%
$90-$100
10%
$100-$115
7%
>115 $
12%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's June silver (SI) settlement market remains fragmented, with the <$50 outcome leading at a modest 17% implied probability amid closely contested bins reflecting balanced bullish and bearish forces. Recent safe-haven flows propelled spot silver above $31/oz last week on Middle East tensions, including Israel's strikes on Iran, while robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics—up 12% YTD—bolsters upside potential alongside Fed rate cut expectations reducing holding costs. Countering this, a firm U.S. dollar index near 104 and softening global manufacturing PMIs introduce downside risks, keeping higher bins like $70-$80 (13.3%) and >$115 (12%) viable. Key differentiators include November CPI data and December FOMC guidance, which could shift the futures curve currently in mild contango around $32 for June 2025.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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