Polymarket's Silver (SI) March settlement odds show a razor-thin contest between <$75 (43%) and $75-$80 (39%), implying trader consensus around $77 per ounce amid 82% probability below $85. Driving this balance are expectations of Fed rate cuts weakening the USD—reducing precious metals' opportunity costs—coupled with surging industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors, where silver consumption hit record highs in 2024 per World Silver Survey data. Recent catalysts include spot prices touching $32.50, a 13-year peak on geopolitical risks, and a gold-silver ratio near 82:1 signaling catch-up potential. Differentiators hinge on Q1 2025 CPI prints and FOMC signals; persistent disinflation favors upside breakout above $75, while robust US jobs data risks capping below.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertUnter 75 $ 43%
$75-$80 39.0%
$80-$85 7.1%
85–90 $ 6.3%
$184,223 Vol.
$184,223 Vol.
Unter 75 $
43%
$75-$80
39%
$80-$85
7%
85–90 $
6%
$90-$95
3%
$95-$100
2%
$100-$105
1%
105$-110$
1%
110–115 $
1%
>115 $
1%
Unter 75 $ 43%
$75-$80 39.0%
$80-$85 7.1%
85–90 $ 6.3%
$184,223 Vol.
$184,223 Vol.
Unter 75 $
43%
$75-$80
39%
$80-$85
7%
85–90 $
6%
$90-$95
3%
$95-$100
2%
$100-$105
1%
105$-110$
1%
110–115 $
1%
>115 $
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during March.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's Silver (SI) March settlement odds show a razor-thin contest between <$75 (43%) and $75-$80 (39%), implying trader consensus around $77 per ounce amid 82% probability below $85. Driving this balance are expectations of Fed rate cuts weakening the USD—reducing precious metals' opportunity costs—coupled with surging industrial demand from solar and electronics sectors, where silver consumption hit record highs in 2024 per World Silver Survey data. Recent catalysts include spot prices touching $32.50, a 13-year peak on geopolitical risks, and a gold-silver ratio near 82:1 signaling catch-up potential. Differentiators hinge on Q1 2025 CPI prints and FOMC signals; persistent disinflation favors upside breakout above $75, while robust US jobs data risks capping below.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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