Recent Bloomberg reports of SpaceX eyeing a confidential IPO filing imminently at over $1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T bracket (52.5% implied probability), propelled by Starlink's projected 80% revenue surge to $18.7 billion in 2026 from its expanding low-Earth orbit satellite constellation and 5 million-plus subscribers. Secondary tender offers valuing shares at $474-$601 equate to 1.1T-1.4T private market caps, underscoring Falcon 9's launch cadence dominance and Starship prototypes achieving rapid reusability milestones. The 2.0T-2.5T outcome (23.5%) reflects optimism for Starship's mass-to-orbit breakthroughs, though execution risks on orbital refueling and regulatory filings temper higher tiers; no-IPO-before-2028 odds at 2.8% dismiss amid CFO-confirmed 2026 timelines. Key catalysts: S-1 disclosure and June listing window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1.857T
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$937,067 Vol.
$937,067 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
52%
2.0T-2.5T
24%
2.5T-3.0T
5%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5T+
2%
No IPO before 2028
3%
1.5T-2.0T 52%
2.0T-2.5T 24%
1.0T-1.5T 10%
2.5T-3.0T 5.5%
$937,067 Vol.
$937,067 Vol.
<1.0T
$10,351 Vol.
3%
1.0T-1.5T
$7,246 Vol.
10%
1.5T-2.0T
$9,349 Vol.
52%
2.0T-2.5T
$9,005 Vol.
24%
2.5T-3.0T
$384,038 Vol.
5%
3.0T-3.5T
$350,522 Vol.
3%
3,5T+
$9,817 Vol.
2%
No IPO before 2028
$156,749 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent Bloomberg reports of SpaceX eyeing a confidential IPO filing imminently at over $1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T bracket (52.5% implied probability), propelled by Starlink's projected 80% revenue surge to $18.7 billion in 2026 from its expanding low-Earth orbit satellite constellation and 5 million-plus subscribers. Secondary tender offers valuing shares at $474-$601 equate to 1.1T-1.4T private market caps, underscoring Falcon 9's launch cadence dominance and Starship prototypes achieving rapid reusability milestones. The 2.0T-2.5T outcome (23.5%) reflects optimism for Starship's mass-to-orbit breakthroughs, though execution risks on orbital refueling and regulatory filings temper higher tiers; no-IPO-before-2028 odds at 2.8% dismiss amid CFO-confirmed 2026 timelines. Key catalysts: S-1 disclosure and June listing window.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Volumen
$937,067Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent Bloomberg reports of SpaceX eyeing a confidential IPO filing imminently at over $1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T bracket (52.5% implied probability), propelled by Starlink's projected 80% revenue surge to $18.7 billion in 2026 from its expanding low-Earth orbit satellite constellation and 5 million-plus subscribers. Secondary tender offers valuing shares at $474-$601 equate to 1.1T-1.4T private market caps, underscoring Falcon 9's launch cadence dominance and Starship prototypes achieving rapid reusability milestones. The 2.0T-2.5T outcome (23.5%) reflects optimism for Starship's mass-to-orbit breakthroughs, though execution risks on orbital refueling and regulatory filings temper higher tiers; no-IPO-before-2028 odds at 2.8% dismiss amid CFO-confirmed 2026 timelines. Key catalysts: S-1 disclosure and June listing window.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volumen
$937,067Markt eröffnet
Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Bloomberg reports of SpaceX eyeing a confidential IPO filing imminently at over $1.75 trillion valuation have anchored trader consensus on the 1.5T-2.0T bracket (52.5% implied probability), propelled by Starlink's projected 80% revenue surge to $18.7 billion in 2026 from its expanding low-Earth orbit satellite constellation and 5 million-plus subscribers. Secondary tender offers valuing shares at $474-$601 equate to 1.1T-1.4T private market caps, underscoring Falcon 9's launch cadence dominance and Starship prototypes achieving rapid reusability milestones. The 2.0T-2.5T outcome (23.5%) reflects optimism for Starship's mass-to-orbit breakthroughs, though execution risks on orbital refueling and regulatory filings temper higher tiers; no-IPO-before-2028 odds at 2.8% dismiss amid CFO-confirmed 2026 timelines. Key catalysts: S-1 disclosure and June listing window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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