Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, driven by his high-profile endorsement of Donald Trump during the 2024 cycle, alignment with populist health policy critiques, and reported consideration for a cabinet role like HHS secretary amid Trump's transition. J.D. Vance follows at 37.1%, bolstered by his vice presidential selection as the natural successor in a second Trump term, reflecting base loyalty to the MAGA movement. Marco Rubio's 28.1% share stems from his Senate leadership, foreign policy expertise, and recent buzz as Trump's pick for secretary of state, signaling establishment viability. Early jockeying post-Trump's 2024 victory and cabinet announcements have elevated these figures, though long-term dynamics like midterm results and Trump's influence remain key uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJ.D. Vance 37.1%
Marco Rubio 28.1%
Tucker Carlson 3.8%
Ron DeSantis 3.1%
$442,587,379 Vol.
$442,587,379 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
28%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Donald Trump Jr.
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Mike Pence
1%
J.D. Vance 37.1%
Marco Rubio 28.1%
Tucker Carlson 3.8%
Ron DeSantis 3.1%
$442,587,379 Vol.
$442,587,379 Vol.

J.D. Vance
37%

Marco Rubio
28%

Tucker Carlson
4%

Ron DeSantis
3%

Donald Trump
2%

Donald Trump Jr.
2%

Thomas Massie
2%

Glenn Youngkin
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Vivek Ramaswamy
1%

Matt Gaetz
1%

Ted Cruz
1%

Elon Musk
1%

Nikki Haley
1%

Ivanka Trump
1%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
1%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
1%

Greg Abbott
1%

Brian Kemp
1%

Katie Britt
1%

Tulsi Gabbard
1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
1%

Josh Hawley
1%

John Thune
1%

Kristi Noem
1%

Eric Trump
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Elise Stefanik
1%

Joe Kent
1%

Gruppeneintragstitel: Tom Brady
1%

Steve Bannon
1%

Erika Kirk
1%

Pete Hegseth
1%

Byron Donalds
1%

Mike Pence
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.
Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus on Polymarket positions Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the frontrunner for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination at 49%, driven by his high-profile endorsement of Donald Trump during the 2024 cycle, alignment with populist health policy critiques, and reported consideration for a cabinet role like HHS secretary amid Trump's transition. J.D. Vance follows at 37.1%, bolstered by his vice presidential selection as the natural successor in a second Trump term, reflecting base loyalty to the MAGA movement. Marco Rubio's 28.1% share stems from his Senate leadership, foreign policy expertise, and recent buzz as Trump's pick for secretary of state, signaling establishment viability. Early jockeying post-Trump's 2024 victory and cabinet announcements have elevated these figures, though long-term dynamics like midterm results and Trump's influence remain key uncertainties.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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