U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to win the open Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by President Trump's early endorsement, a recent Emerson College poll showing him at 46% against rivals' single digits amid 39% undecideds, and a record $22.2 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul that smashed non-incumbent benchmarks. These factors underscore his frontrunner status in the race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, bolstered by consistent polling dominance since entering last year. Challengers like investor James Fishback (8%) face hurdles, including a fresh controversy over heated rhetoric at a voter confrontation. Realistic shifts could stem from a late high-profile entry such as Casey DeSantis, anti-Donalds vote consolidation, or an unforeseen scandal before the August primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertByron Donalds 91%
James Fishback 8%
Jay Collins 1.4%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,234,554 Vol.
$1,234,554 Vol.
Byron Donalds
91%
James Fishback
8%
Jay Collins
1%
Casey DeSantis
<1%
Wilton Simpson
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
<1%
Byron Donalds 91%
James Fishback 8%
Jay Collins 1.4%
Casey DeSantis <1%
$1,234,554 Vol.
$1,234,554 Vol.
Byron Donalds
91%
James Fishback
8%
Jay Collins
1%
Casey DeSantis
<1%
Wilton Simpson
<1%
Matt Gaetz
<1%
Jimmy Patronis
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds commands trader consensus at 90.5% implied probability to win the open Florida Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by President Trump's early endorsement, a recent Emerson College poll showing him at 46% against rivals' single digits amid 39% undecideds, and a record $22.2 million Q1 2026 fundraising haul that smashed non-incumbent benchmarks. These factors underscore his frontrunner status in the race to succeed term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis, bolstered by consistent polling dominance since entering last year. Challengers like investor James Fishback (8%) face hurdles, including a fresh controversy over heated rhetoric at a voter confrontation. Realistic shifts could stem from a late high-profile entry such as Casey DeSantis, anti-Donalds vote consolidation, or an unforeseen scandal before the August primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen