Portugal Präsidentschaftswahl Spielraum des Sieges: Zweite Runde
Seguro 30-40 % 48%
Seguro 20–30 % 23%
Seguro 40–50 % 22%
Seguro 10–20 % 3.0%
$836,731 Umsatz
$836,731 Umsatz
Feb 8, 2026
Seguro 50%+
$91,452 Umsatz
2%
Seguro 50%+
$91,452 Umsatz
2%
Seguro 40–50 %
$77,198 Umsatz
22%
Seguro 40–50 %
$77,198 Umsatz
22%
Seguro 30-40 %
$44,082 Umsatz
48%
Seguro 30-40 %
$44,082 Umsatz
48%
Seguro 20–30 %
$141,860 Umsatz
23%
Seguro 20–30 %
$141,860 Umsatz
23%
Seguro 10–20 %
$179,541 Umsatz
3%
Seguro 10–20 %
$179,541 Umsatz
3%
Seguro 0–10 %
$172,791 Umsatz
2%
Seguro 0–10 %
$172,791 Umsatz
2%
Ventura-Sieg
$129,806 Umsatz
1%
Ventura-Sieg
$129,806 Umsatz
1%
Regeln
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Erstellt am: Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Volumen
$836,731Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Portugal Präsidentschaftswahl Spielraum des Sieges: Zweite Runde
Seguro 30-40 % 48%
Seguro 20–30 % 23%
Seguro 40–50 % 22%
Seguro 10–20 % 3.0%
$836,731 Umsatz
$836,731 Umsatz
Feb 8, 2026
Seguro 50%+
$91,452 Umsatz
2%
Seguro 40–50 %
$77,198 Umsatz
22%
Seguro 30-40 %
$44,082 Umsatz
48%
Seguro 20–30 %
$141,860 Umsatz
23%
Seguro 10–20 %
$179,541 Umsatz
3%
Seguro 0–10 %
$172,791 Umsatz
2%
Ventura-Sieg
$129,806 Umsatz
1%
Über
Volumen
$836,731Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ETResolver
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