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Portugal Präsidentschaftswahl Spielraum des Sieges: Zweite Runde

Seguro 30-40 % 48%

Seguro 20–30 % 23%

Seguro 40–50 % 22%

Seguro 10–20 % 3.0%

$836,731 Umsatz

Regeln

Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volumen
$836,731
Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Second-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on February 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by June 30, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Market icon

Portugal Präsidentschaftswahl Spielraum des Sieges: Zweite Runde

Seguro 30-40 % 48%

Seguro 20–30 % 23%

Seguro 40–50 % 22%

Seguro 10–20 % 3.0%

$836,731 Umsatz

Seguro 50%+

$91,452 Umsatz

2%

Seguro 40–50 %

$77,198 Umsatz

22%

Seguro 30-40 %

$44,082 Umsatz

48%

Seguro 20–30 %

$141,860 Umsatz

23%

Seguro 10–20 %

$179,541 Umsatz

3%

Seguro 0–10 %

$172,791 Umsatz

2%

Ventura-Sieg

$129,806 Umsatz

1%

Über

Volumen
$836,731
Enddatum
Feb 8, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.