Trader consensus favors Democrats at 55.5% in the Ohio U.S. Senate special election, reflecting recent March 2026 polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading appointed incumbent Jon Husted by slim margins, such as 47%-45% in an OnMessage survey and a 47.3%-46.0% polling average across three surveys. This shift from earlier Husted leads stems from voter concerns over healthcare affordability, Brown's top fundraising edge with nearly $15 million raised by late 2025, and his name recognition in the battleground state despite his 2024 defeat. Primaries on May 5 could solidify nominees, but the race remains closely contested ahead of the November 3 general, with ratings split between Lean Republican and Tilt Democratic.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$61,309 Vol.
$61,309 Vol.

Demokrat
56%

Republikaner
43%
$61,309 Vol.
$61,309 Vol.

Demokrat
56%

Republikaner
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrats at 55.5% in the Ohio U.S. Senate special election, reflecting recent March 2026 polls showing former Senator Sherrod Brown leading appointed incumbent Jon Husted by slim margins, such as 47%-45% in an OnMessage survey and a 47.3%-46.0% polling average across three surveys. This shift from earlier Husted leads stems from voter concerns over healthcare affordability, Brown's top fundraising edge with nearly $15 million raised by late 2025, and his name recognition in the battleground state despite his 2024 defeat. Primaries on May 5 could solidify nominees, but the race remains closely contested ahead of the November 3 general, with ratings split between Lean Republican and Tilt Democratic.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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