Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s R+20 partisan voter index, combined with Moore’s unopposed May 12 Republican primary and established incumbency, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who won a contested primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though none have materialized to alter the current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWV-02 Wahlsieger
WV-02 Wahlsieger
$66,309 Vol.
$66,309 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
96%
Demokratische Partei
4%
$66,309 Vol.
$66,309 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Republikanische Partei
$40,195 Vol.
96%
Demokratische Partei
$26,114 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s R+20 partisan voter index, combined with Moore’s unopposed May 12 Republican primary and established incumbency, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who won a contested primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though none have materialized to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$66,309Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s R+20 partisan voter index, combined with Moore’s unopposed May 12 Republican primary and established incumbency, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who won a contested primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though none have materialized to alter the current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$66,309Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Riley Moore holds a commanding position in West Virginia’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The seat’s R+20 partisan voter index, combined with Moore’s unopposed May 12 Republican primary and established incumbency, underpins trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democratic nominee Ace Parsi, who won a contested primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has consistently favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major national political shifts, late-breaking scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though none have materialized to alter the current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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