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Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Khamenei bis Februar weg ist, über __ im Januar?

NEW

$35,495 Umsatz

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28-over-50 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Volumen
$35,495
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Market icon

Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Khamenei bis Februar weg ist, über __ im Januar?

$35,495 Umsatz

Market icon

>30%

$26,586 Umsatz

7%

Market icon

>50%

$8,909 Umsatz

6%

Über

Volumen
$35,495
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ET

Vorsicht vor externen Links.