Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Khamenei bis Februar weg ist, über __ im Januar?
NEW
$35,495 Umsatz

>30%
$26,586 Umsatz
7%

>30%
$26,586 Umsatz
7%

>50%
$8,909 Umsatz
6%

>50%
$8,909 Umsatz
6%
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the “Yes” option for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market (https://polymarket.com/event/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28) is priced over the listed value for a majority of minutes during any two-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28-over-50 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
A tie in the number of minutes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.
If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.
The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the 'Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?' market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/khamenei-out-as-supreme-leader-of-iran-by-february-28-over-50 or through the “Get Resolution” tab, with the time set to look at a two-hour window. This will display a two-hour scoring window and the underlying minute-level comparisons. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.
Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.
Erstellt am: Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Volumen
$35,495Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wahrscheinlichkeit, dass Khamenei bis Februar weg ist, über __ im Januar?
$35,495 Umsatz

>30%
$26,586 Umsatz
7%

>50%
$8,909 Umsatz
6%
Über
Volumen
$35,495Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026Erstellt am
Jan 20, 2026, 11:56 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.
Vorsicht vor externen Links.