President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Secretary of Homeland Security, instead selecting South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem on November 13, 2024, as part of ongoing cabinet announcements following his election victory. Mullin, a first-term senator focused on issues like border security and agency oversight—including recent subpoenas related to Harvard University—remains in his Senate role with no public indications of a DHS bid. Confirmation requires presidential nomination followed by Senate committee hearings and floor vote, typically starting in January after inauguration. Traders weigh nomination status as the primary barrier, alongside Senate dynamics where Republicans hold a slim majority but face potential holds or opposition on nominees. No recent developments suggest a shift, leaving the path structurally improbable absent late changes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$26,107 Vol.
Apr 30, 2026
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30. April
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$26,107 Vol.
31. März
$0 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Secretary of Homeland Security, instead selecting South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem on November 13, 2024, as part of ongoing cabinet announcements following his election victory. Mullin, a first-term senator focused on issues like border security and agency oversight—including recent subpoenas related to Harvard University—remains in his Senate role with no public indications of a DHS bid. Confirmation requires presidential nomination followed by Senate committee hearings and floor vote, typically starting in January after inauguration. Traders weigh nomination status as the primary barrier, alongside Senate dynamics where Republicans hold a slim majority but face potential holds or opposition on nominees. No recent developments suggest a shift, leaving the path structurally improbable absent late changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Volumen
$26,107Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Secretary of Homeland Security, instead selecting South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem on November 13, 2024, as part of ongoing cabinet announcements following his election victory. Mullin, a first-term senator focused on issues like border security and agency oversight—including recent subpoenas related to Harvard University—remains in his Senate role with no public indications of a DHS bid. Confirmation requires presidential nomination followed by Senate committee hearings and floor vote, typically starting in January after inauguration. Traders weigh nomination status as the primary barrier, alongside Senate dynamics where Republicans hold a slim majority but face potential holds or opposition on nominees. No recent developments suggest a shift, leaving the path structurally improbable absent late changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Markwayne Mullin is confirmed as the United States Secretary of Homeland Security by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Markwayne Mullin is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm Markwayne Mullin as Secretary of Homeland Security for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments or assumption of the position in an acting capacity without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$26,107Enddatum
Apr 30, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 5:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has not nominated Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) for Secretary of Homeland Security, instead selecting South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem on November 13, 2024, as part of ongoing cabinet announcements following his election victory. Mullin, a first-term senator focused on issues like border security and agency oversight—including recent subpoenas related to Harvard University—remains in his Senate role with no public indications of a DHS bid. Confirmation requires presidential nomination followed by Senate committee hearings and floor vote, typically starting in January after inauguration. Traders weigh nomination status as the primary barrier, alongside Senate dynamics where Republicans hold a slim majority but face potential holds or opposition on nominees. No recent developments suggest a shift, leaving the path structurally improbable absent late changes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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