Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 3,500-4,000 US flight delays on March 26 (59.5%) and 4,000-4,500 (49.5%), reflecting recent trends amid ongoing FAA air traffic controller shortages and peak spring break travel volumes boosting daily operations to over 45,000 flights. The past week saw elevated delays averaging 3,800 nationwide, driven by high winds across the Midwest and Northeast, winter storm remnants, and ground stops at major hubs like Denver and Chicago due to staffing constraints. Weather forecasts for March 26 predict continued gusty conditions and isolated thunderstorms in key corridors, sustaining pressure on departure schedules without extreme disruptions, positioning lower buckets like <3,000 (13%) as underdogs while >6,000 remains possible if convective activity intensifies. DOT data will resolve based on flights departing 15+ minutes late.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNumber of US Flights Delayed March 26?
Number of US Flights Delayed March 26?
4,000-4,500 50%
3,000-3,500 31%
5,000-5,500 18%
4,500-5,000 9%
$1,161 Vol.
$1,161 Vol.
<3,000
11%
3,000-3,500
31%
3,500-4,000
57%
4,000-4,500
50%
4,500-5,000
9%
5,000-5,500
18%
5,500-6,000
30%
>6,000
27%
4,000-4,500 50%
3,000-3,500 31%
5,000-5,500 18%
4,500-5,000 9%
$1,161 Vol.
$1,161 Vol.
<3,000
11%
3,000-3,500
31%
3,500-4,000
57%
4,000-4,500
50%
4,500-5,000
9%
5,000-5,500
18%
5,500-6,000
30%
>6,000
27%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 5:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket centers around 3,500-4,000 US flight delays on March 26 (59.5%) and 4,000-4,500 (49.5%), reflecting recent trends amid ongoing FAA air traffic controller shortages and peak spring break travel volumes boosting daily operations to over 45,000 flights. The past week saw elevated delays averaging 3,800 nationwide, driven by high winds across the Midwest and Northeast, winter storm remnants, and ground stops at major hubs like Denver and Chicago due to staffing constraints. Weather forecasts for March 26 predict continued gusty conditions and isolated thunderstorms in key corridors, sustaining pressure on departure schedules without extreme disruptions, positioning lower buckets like <3,000 (13%) as underdogs while >6,000 remains possible if convective activity intensifies. DOT data will resolve based on flights departing 15+ minutes late.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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