Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 2.6M-2.8M range at 89% implied probability for March 27 TSA checkpoint throughput, anchored by recent daily volumes during peak spring break travel: 2.72 million on March 26, 2.64 million on March 23, and 2.82 million on March 19, reflecting sustained high demand amid forecasts for a record 171 million monthly passengers. Volumes have hovered in this bracket multiple times over the past week, with lower outcomes like under 2.6M at 4% reflecting minimal downside risk absent major disruptions. Ongoing partial government shutdown has spurred record TSA wait times and staffing strains—exacerbated by over 450 officer quits—but has not materially curbed screenings, per airport reports. Official data release expected Monday by 9 a.m. ET could prompt final positioning shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert2.6M-2.8M 89%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
3.0M-3.2M 4.6%
<2.6M 4.0%
$23,104 Vol.
$23,104 Vol.
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
89%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
5%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
2.6M-2.8M 89%
2.8M-3.0M 9%
3.0M-3.2M 4.6%
<2.6M 4.0%
$23,104 Vol.
$23,104 Vol.
<2.6M
4%
2.6M-2.8M
89%
2.8M-3.0M
9%
3.0M-3.2M
5%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the 2.6M-2.8M range at 89% implied probability for March 27 TSA checkpoint throughput, anchored by recent daily volumes during peak spring break travel: 2.72 million on March 26, 2.64 million on March 23, and 2.82 million on March 19, reflecting sustained high demand amid forecasts for a record 171 million monthly passengers. Volumes have hovered in this bracket multiple times over the past week, with lower outcomes like under 2.6M at 4% reflecting minimal downside risk absent major disruptions. Ongoing partial government shutdown has spurred record TSA wait times and staffing strains—exacerbated by over 450 officer quits—but has not materially curbed screenings, per airport reports. Official data release expected Monday by 9 a.m. ET could prompt final positioning shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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