Market icon

Nächster Führer, der 2025 aus der Macht sein wird?

Market icon

Nächster Führer, der 2025 aus der Macht sein wird?

Keiner im Jahr 2025 100.0%

Erdoğan - Türkiye Präsident <1%

Xi - Generalsekretär der Kommunistischen Partei Chinas <1%

Netanjahu - Israels Premierminister <1%

Polymarket

$2,242,167 Vol.

Keiner im Jahr 2025 100.0%

Erdoğan - Türkiye Präsident <1%

Xi - Generalsekretär der Kommunistischen Partei Chinas <1%

Netanjahu - Israels Premierminister <1%

Polymarket

$2,242,167 Vol.

Erdoğan - Türkiye Präsident

$34,366 Vol.

Nein

Xi - Generalsekretär der Kommunistischen Partei Chinas

$40,288 Vol.

Nein

Netanjahu - Israels Premierminister

$101,780 Vol.

Nein

Newsom - Kalifornischer Gouverneur

$29,030 Vol.

Nein

Starmer - UK PM

$52,843 Vol.

Nein

Zelenskyy - Präsident der Ukraine

$96,872 Vol.

Nein

Gruppen-Item-Titel: Lula da Silva - Brasiliens Präsident

$137,247 Vol.

Nein

Lecornu - französischer Premierminister

$101,635 Vol.

Nein

Takaichi - Japans Premierministerin

$190,847 Vol.

Nein

Keiner im Jahr 2025

$326,884 Vol.

Ja

Abbas - Präsident von Palästina

$68,250 Vol.

Nein

Macron - Präsident Frankreichs

$38,359 Vol.

Nein

Kim - Oberster Führer Nordkoreas

$38,148 Vol.

Nein

Khamenei - Iranischer Oberster Führer

$106,133 Vol.

Nein

Albanese - Premierminister Australiens

$56,815 Vol.

Nein

Milei - Argentinischer Präsident

$28,766 Vol.

Nein

Trump - Präsident der USA

$151,576 Vol.

Nein

Putin - Präsident Russlands

$63,709 Vol.

Nein

Maduro - Präsident Venezuelas

$215,906 Vol.

Nein

Schoof - Premierminister der Niederlande

$268,097 Vol.

Nein

Merz - Deutscher Kanzler

$36,396 Vol.

Nein

Sánchez - spanischer Ministerpräsident

$56,069 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the second individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,242,167
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2025
Markt eröffnet
Oct 21, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the second individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Nächster Führer, der 2025 aus der Macht sein wird?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keiner im Jahr 2025" at 100%, followed by "Erdoğan - Türkiye Präsident" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nächster Führer, der 2025 aus der Macht sein wird?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nächster Führer, der 2025 aus der Macht sein wird?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nächster Führer, der 2025 aus der Macht sein wird?" is "Keiner im Jahr 2025" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Erdoğan - Türkiye Präsident" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nächster Führer, der 2025 aus der Macht sein wird?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.