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Der nächste Anführer, der vor 2027 nicht mehr an der Macht ist?

Market icon

Der nächste Anführer, der vor 2027 nicht mehr an der Macht ist?

Schoof - Niederländischer Premierminister 100.0%

Xi – Generalsekretär der KPCh <1%

Albanese - Premierminister Australiens <1%

Starmer - UK Premierminister <1%

Polymarket

$11,059,224 Vol.

Schoof - Niederländischer Premierminister 100.0%

Xi – Generalsekretär der KPCh <1%

Albanese - Premierminister Australiens <1%

Starmer - UK Premierminister <1%

Polymarket

$11,059,224 Vol.

Xi – Generalsekretär der KPCh

$497,606 Vol.

Nein

Albanese - Premierminister Australiens

$344,358 Vol.

Nein

Starmer - UK Premierminister

$592,504 Vol.

Nein

Lecornu - Frankreichs Premierminister

$455,733 Vol.

Nein

Abbas - Präsident von Palästina

$321,890 Vol.

Nein

Sheinbaum - Präsidentin von Mexiko

$343,942 Vol.

Nein

Rodríguez - Venezuelas amtierende Präsidentin

$366,538 Vol.

Nein

al-Sharaa - Präsident Syriens

$304,285 Vol.

Nein

Erdoğan - Präsident der Türkei

$339,376 Vol.

Nein

Netanjahu - Israels Premierminister

$414,018 Vol.

Nein

Trump - US-Präsident

$488,512 Vol.

Nein

Sánchez – Spanischer Premierminister

$394,413 Vol.

Nein

Díaz-Canel - Präsident von Kuba

$512,977 Vol.

Nein

Orbán - Ungarns Ministerpräsident

$474,697 Vol.

Nein

Macron - Präsident von Frankreich

$307,992 Vol.

Nein

Kim – Oberster Führer von Nordkorea

$280,352 Vol.

Nein

Putin - Präsident Russlands

$358,209 Vol.

Nein

Lula da Silva – Präsident von Brasilien

$358,256 Vol.

Nein

Petro - Präsident von Kolumbien

$357,077 Vol.

Nein

Keiner vor 2027

$357,611 Vol.

Nein

Khamenei - Oberster Führer Irans

$654,446 Vol.

Nein

Newsom - Gouverneur von Kalifornien

$377,923 Vol.

Nein

Milei - Präsident von Argentinien

$289,683 Vol.

Nein

Selenskyj - Präsident der Ukraine

$472,796 Vol.

Nein

Takaichi - Japans Premierministerin

$425,632 Vol.

Nein

Schoof - Niederländischer Premierminister

$631,090 Vol.

Ja

Merz - Deutscher Kanzler

$337,307 Vol.

Nein

This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$11,059,224
Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 5, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the first individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Der nächste Anführer, der vor 2027 nicht mehr an der Macht ist?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 27 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Schoof - Niederländischer Premierminister" at 100%, followed by "Xi – Generalsekretär der KPCh" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Der nächste Anführer, der vor 2027 nicht mehr an der Macht ist?" has generated $11.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Der nächste Anführer, der vor 2027 nicht mehr an der Macht ist?," browse the 27 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Der nächste Anführer, der vor 2027 nicht mehr an der Macht ist?" is "Schoof - Niederländischer Premierminister" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Xi – Generalsekretär der KPCh" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Der nächste Anführer, der vor 2027 nicht mehr an der Macht ist?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.