Next leader out of power before 2027?
Next leader out of power before 2027?
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 100.0%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea <1%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%
$434,414 Vol.
$434,414 Vol.
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
No
Starmer - UK PM
No
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
No
Abbas - President of Palestine
No
Petro - Colombia President
No
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
No
al-Sharaa - Syria President
No
Macron - France President
No
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
No
Albanese - Australia PM
No
Newsom - California Governor
No
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
No
Lecornu - France PM
No
Sánchez - Spanish PM
No
Orbán - Hungary PM
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
Yes
Netanyahu - Israel PM
No
Trump - USA President
No
Putin - Russia President
No
Takaichi - Japan PM
No
Merz - German Chancellor
No
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
No
None before 2027
No
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
No
Milei - Argentina President
No
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader 100.0%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea <1%
Starmer - UK PM <1%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President <1%
$434,414 Vol.
$434,414 Vol.
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
No
Starmer - UK PM
No
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
No
Abbas - President of Palestine
No
Petro - Colombia President
No
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
No
al-Sharaa - Syria President
No
Macron - France President
No
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
No
Albanese - Australia PM
No
Newsom - California Governor
No
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
No
Lecornu - France PM
No
Sánchez - Spanish PM
No
Orbán - Hungary PM
No
Khamenei - Iran Supreme Leader
Yes
Netanyahu - Israel PM
No
Trump - USA President
No
Putin - Russia President
No
Takaichi - Japan PM
No
Merz - German Chancellor
No
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
No
None before 2027
No
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
No
Milei - Argentina President
No
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
No
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 27, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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