Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary following her strong win in the party's February precinct caucus straw poll, capturing 32% of votes as House Speaker and top GOP fundraiser alongside challengers like Kendall Qualls. Qualls holds second at 26.5% after announcing businessman Brian Nicholson as his lieutenant governor running mate on March 3, bolstering his Army veteran outsider appeal amid solid early fundraising. Mike Lindell's 11.5% reflects his Trump-aligned national profile despite third-place straw poll finish at 18%, in a crowded field where the upcoming party endorsement convention and August 11 primary could shift dynamics through delegate support and coalition-building.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertLisa Demuth 55%
Kendall Qualls 27%
Mike Lindell 12%
Patrick Knight 1.3%
$299,093 Vol.
$299,093 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
55%
Kendall Qualls
27%
Mike Lindell
12%
Patrick Knight
1%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
Lisa Demuth 55%
Kendall Qualls 27%
Mike Lindell 12%
Patrick Knight 1.3%
$299,093 Vol.
$299,093 Vol.
Lisa Demuth
55%
Kendall Qualls
27%
Mike Lindell
12%
Patrick Knight
1%
Kristin Robbins
1%
Scott Jensen
1%
Phil Parrish
<1%
Chris Madel
<1%
Jeff Johnson
<1%
Brad Kohler
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lisa Demuth leads trader consensus at 54.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary following her strong win in the party's February precinct caucus straw poll, capturing 32% of votes as House Speaker and top GOP fundraiser alongside challengers like Kendall Qualls. Qualls holds second at 26.5% after announcing businessman Brian Nicholson as his lieutenant governor running mate on March 3, bolstering his Army veteran outsider appeal amid solid early fundraising. Mike Lindell's 11.5% reflects his Trump-aligned national profile despite third-place straw poll finish at 18%, in a crowded field where the upcoming party endorsement convention and August 11 primary could shift dynamics through delegate support and coalition-building.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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