In Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 52% implied probability, driven by her campaign's March 25 release of a Global Strategy Group internal poll (March 19-22) showing her at 30% among likely voters—up 10 points since June—with strong favorability ratings and Haley Stevens slipping to third. Recent endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren (March 18) and labor unions like UA Local 357 bolster her momentum amid high undecideds (21%) in polls. Abdul El-Sayed holds 35% on progressive appeal and comparable internals, while Rep. Stevens lags at 14% despite moderate backing, as RCP averages reflect a tight race with McMorrow edging ahead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMallory McMorrow 52%
Abdul El-Sayed 35%
Haley Stevens 14%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$232,485 Vol.
$232,485 Vol.
Mallory McMorrow
52%
Abdul El-Sayed
35%
Haley Stevens
14%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
Mallory McMorrow 52%
Abdul El-Sayed 35%
Haley Stevens 14%
Rashida Tlaib <1%
$232,485 Vol.
$232,485 Vol.
Mallory McMorrow
52%
Abdul El-Sayed
35%
Haley Stevens
14%
Rashida Tlaib
<1%
Matt Sahr
<1%
Sarah Anthony
<1%
Kristen McDonald Rivet
<1%
Dana Nessel
<1%
Andy Levin
<1%
If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 15, 2025, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Michigan's open Democratic Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus favors state Sen. Mallory McMorrow at 52% implied probability, driven by her campaign's March 25 release of a Global Strategy Group internal poll (March 19-22) showing her at 30% among likely voters—up 10 points since June—with strong favorability ratings and Haley Stevens slipping to third. Recent endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren (March 18) and labor unions like UA Local 357 bolster her momentum amid high undecideds (21%) in polls. Abdul El-Sayed holds 35% on progressive appeal and comparable internals, while Rep. Stevens lags at 14% despite moderate backing, as RCP averages reflect a tight race with McMorrow edging ahead.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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