The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, has fueled a tight race rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report, mirroring trader consensus at 46% GOP versus 42% Democratic. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the GOP primary revealed fragmentation, with former Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard leading at 29% amid undecideds at 59%, while Democrats like Eric Chung and Tim Greimel hold competitive fundraising edges. Dynamics hinge on crowded August 4 primaries potentially yielding weaker nominees, Macomb County swing voters, and midterm national environment; separation could come from post-April 21 filing momentum, nominee quality, or local priorities like Selfridge Air National Guard Base funding.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertMI-10 Wahlsieger
MI-10 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
53%
Republikanische Partei
46%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
53%
Republikanische Partei
$206 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, has fueled a tight race rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report, mirroring trader consensus at 46% GOP versus 42% Democratic. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the GOP primary revealed fragmentation, with former Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard leading at 29% amid undecideds at 59%, while Democrats like Eric Chung and Tim Greimel hold competitive fundraising edges. Dynamics hinge on crowded August 4 primaries potentially yielding weaker nominees, Macomb County swing voters, and midterm national environment; separation could come from post-April 21 filing momentum, nominee quality, or local priorities like Selfridge Air National Guard Base funding.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volumen
$206Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, has fueled a tight race rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report, mirroring trader consensus at 46% GOP versus 42% Democratic. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the GOP primary revealed fragmentation, with former Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard leading at 29% amid undecideds at 59%, while Democrats like Eric Chung and Tim Greimel hold competitive fundraising edges. Dynamics hinge on crowded August 4 primaries potentially yielding weaker nominees, Macomb County swing voters, and midterm national environment; separation could come from post-April 21 filing momentum, nominee quality, or local priorities like Selfridge Air National Guard Base funding.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$206Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Michigan's 10th Congressional District, vacated by Republican Rep. John James for his 2026 gubernatorial bid, has fueled a tight race rated Lean Republican by Cook Political Report, mirroring trader consensus at 46% GOP versus 42% Democratic. A March 18 Strategic National poll of the GOP primary revealed fragmentation, with former Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard leading at 29% amid undecideds at 59%, while Democrats like Eric Chung and Tim Greimel hold competitive fundraising edges. Dynamics hinge on crowded August 4 primaries potentially yielding weaker nominees, Macomb County swing voters, and midterm national environment; separation could come from post-April 21 filing momentum, nominee quality, or local priorities like Selfridge Air National Guard Base funding.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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