Recent polling and shifts in voter sentiment among Hispanic residents in Miami-Dade County have narrowed the race for Florida’s 27th congressional district. Internal surveys from late August and mid-September showed incumbent Republican María Elvira Salazar and Democratic challenger Eliott Rodriguez essentially tied or separated by a single point, prompting the Cook Political Report to downgrade its rating to Lean Republican. Salazar’s campaign ad criticizing aspects of federal immigration enforcement drew attention and some Republican pushback, while her substantial fundraising edge and primary win continue to support her position. Rodriguez, a former local television anchor, benefits from name recognition in the heavily Latino district ahead of early voting that begins October 24. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects these tightening dynamics with roughly four weeks until Election Day.