Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Salazar's consistent 5-8 point leads in recent October polls over Democrat Mike Davey, including a Fabrizio Lee internal showing Salazar at 51-44. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and strong Cuban-American support for GOP foreign policy on Cuba reinforce this edge, despite Davey's fundraising lead. No major catalysts in the past week, but national Republican momentum in battleground House races has steadied odds. Both sides ramp up turnout operations ahead of the November 5 election in this Miami-area battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertFL-27 Wahlsieger
FL-27 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
61%
Demokratische Partei
39%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
61%
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Salazar's consistent 5-8 point leads in recent October polls over Democrat Mike Davey, including a Fabrizio Lee internal showing Salazar at 51-44. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and strong Cuban-American support for GOP foreign policy on Cuba reinforce this edge, despite Davey's fundraising lead. No major catalysts in the past week, but national Republican momentum in battleground House races has steadied odds. Both sides ramp up turnout operations ahead of the November 5 election in this Miami-area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Salazar's consistent 5-8 point leads in recent October polls over Democrat Mike Davey, including a Fabrizio Lee internal showing Salazar at 51-44. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and strong Cuban-American support for GOP foreign policy on Cuba reinforce this edge, despite Davey's fundraising lead. No major catalysts in the past week, but national Republican momentum in battleground House races has steadied odds. Both sides ramp up turnout operations ahead of the November 5 election in this Miami-area battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors the Republican Party at 61% implied probability to win Florida's 27th Congressional District House seat, driven by incumbent Rep. Maria Salazar's consistent 5-8 point leads in recent October polls over Democrat Mike Davey, including a Fabrizio Lee internal showing Salazar at 51-44. The district's R+3 partisan voter index and strong Cuban-American support for GOP foreign policy on Cuba reinforce this edge, despite Davey's fundraising lead. No major catalysts in the past week, but national Republican momentum in battleground House races has steadied odds. Both sides ramp up turnout operations ahead of the November 5 election in this Miami-area battleground.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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