Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAZ-04 Wahlsieger
AZ-04 Wahlsieger
$16,495 Vol.
$16,495 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
85%
Republikanische Partei
12%
$16,495 Vol.
$16,495 Vol.
3. Nov. 2026
Demokratische Partei
$13,688 Vol.
85%
Republikanische Partei
$2,808 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volumen
$16,495Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$16,495Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton seeks reelection in Arizona’s 4th congressional district, which carries a D+4 partisan voter index based on recent presidential results and receives Solid Democratic ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Stanton’s established fundraising advantage and prior general-election margins reinforce the current trader consensus reflected in the 85% Democratic outcome price. The July Democratic primary and August Republican primary represent the next scheduled events, with a crowded GOP field potentially limiting opposition cohesion ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. National midterm conditions and primary results remain the primary variables that could adjust positioning before ballots are cast.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen