Trader consensus positions Dan Cox as the frontrunner for the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary at 53% implied probability, driven by his 2022 nomination, strong grassroots support among Trump-aligned voters, and recent polling leads showing him at 38-45% in early surveys from firms like Chesapeake Beacon. Ed Hale trails at 26%, bolstered by his billionaire self-funding potential and business credentials appealing to moderates. Lower shares for Christopher Bouchat (9%), Carl Brunner (5.3%), and others reflect fragmented name recognition in a wide field. Recent catalysts include Cox's June fundraising surge outpacing rivals and Hale's July campaign launch ad blitz, while former Gov. Larry Hogan's low 2.9% odds signal no entry. With the July 2026 primary distant, odds hinge on endorsements and turnout models.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDan Cox 53%
Ed Hale 25.9%
Christopher Bouchat 9%
Carl Brunner 5.3%
$10,134 Vol.
$10,134 Vol.
Dan Cox
53%
Ed Hale
26%
Christopher Bouchat
9%
Carl Brunner
5%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
Larry Hogan
3%
Steve Hershey
2%
John Myrick
2%
Dan Cox 53%
Ed Hale 25.9%
Christopher Bouchat 9%
Carl Brunner 5.3%
$10,134 Vol.
$10,134 Vol.
Dan Cox
53%
Ed Hale
26%
Christopher Bouchat
9%
Carl Brunner
5%
Kurt Wedekind
3%
Larry Hogan
3%
Steve Hershey
2%
John Myrick
2%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Dan Cox as the frontrunner for the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary at 53% implied probability, driven by his 2022 nomination, strong grassroots support among Trump-aligned voters, and recent polling leads showing him at 38-45% in early surveys from firms like Chesapeake Beacon. Ed Hale trails at 26%, bolstered by his billionaire self-funding potential and business credentials appealing to moderates. Lower shares for Christopher Bouchat (9%), Carl Brunner (5.3%), and others reflect fragmented name recognition in a wide field. Recent catalysts include Cox's June fundraising surge outpacing rivals and Hale's July campaign launch ad blitz, while former Gov. Larry Hogan's low 2.9% odds signal no entry. With the July 2026 primary distant, odds hinge on endorsements and turnout models.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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