Charles Booker's 79% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner reflects trader consensus on his early polling lead, capturing 30% support in the February Emerson College survey of likely voters—double Amy McGrath's 19%—amid 43% undecideds ahead of the May 19 primary. His grassroots campaign, drawing from a strong 2020 primary surge and recent endorsement by former Rep. John Yarmuth on March 26, has built momentum emphasizing working-class priorities without big-money backing. McGrath trails due to her 2020 nomination loss to Mitch McConnell, while lesser-known challengers like Pamela Stevenson linger far behind. High undecideds signal potential shifts from upcoming debates or fundraising, but Booker's name recognition dominates current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertCharles Booker 79%
Amy McGrath 17%
Pamela Stevenson 2.2%
Jared Randall 1.5%
$14,258 Vol.
$14,258 Vol.
Charles Booker
79%
Amy McGrath
17%
Pamela Stevenson
2%
Jared Randall
2%
Vincent Thompson
1%
Logan Forsythe
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Joel Willett
<1%
Charles Booker 79%
Amy McGrath 17%
Pamela Stevenson 2.2%
Jared Randall 1.5%
$14,258 Vol.
$14,258 Vol.
Charles Booker
79%
Amy McGrath
17%
Pamela Stevenson
2%
Jared Randall
2%
Vincent Thompson
1%
Logan Forsythe
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Joel Willett
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker's 79% implied probability as Kentucky Democratic Senate primary winner reflects trader consensus on his early polling lead, capturing 30% support in the February Emerson College survey of likely voters—double Amy McGrath's 19%—amid 43% undecideds ahead of the May 19 primary. His grassroots campaign, drawing from a strong 2020 primary surge and recent endorsement by former Rep. John Yarmuth on March 26, has built momentum emphasizing working-class priorities without big-money backing. McGrath trails due to her 2020 nomination loss to Mitch McConnell, while lesser-known challengers like Pamela Stevenson linger far behind. High undecideds signal potential shifts from upcoming debates or fundraising, but Booker's name recognition dominates current positioning.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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