Former Gov. Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 37.5% implied probability for the August 4 Republican primary, propelled by his executive experience, top name recognition in October 2025 surveys, and early fundraising dominance—including over $1 million in personal loans per January reports—positioning him as the establishment frontrunner in a crowded field. Businessman Philip Sarnecki trails at 21.5%, gaining traction as an outsider akin to Trump after sharp debate exchanges in the January 30 Wichita forum, while Senate President Ty Masterson secures 18.0% on legislative clout. Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt holds 11.6% via statewide visibility. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but the June 1 filing deadline and potential endorsements could reshape this closely contested primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJeff Colyer 38%
Philip Sarnecki 22.0%
Ty Masterson 18%
Charlotte O’Hara 5.0%
$32,007 Vol.
$32,007 Vol.
Jeff Colyer
38%
Philip Sarnecki
22%
Ty Masterson
18%
Charlotte O’Hara
5%
Vicki Schmidt
12%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
2%
Scott Schwab
7%
Jeff Colyer 38%
Philip Sarnecki 22.0%
Ty Masterson 18%
Charlotte O’Hara 5.0%
$32,007 Vol.
$32,007 Vol.
Jeff Colyer
38%
Philip Sarnecki
22%
Ty Masterson
18%
Charlotte O’Hara
5%
Vicki Schmidt
12%
Stacy Rogers
4%
Joy Eakins
2%
Scott Schwab
7%
If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 9, 2025, 6:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Kansas Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Gov. Jeff Colyer leads trader consensus at 37.5% implied probability for the August 4 Republican primary, propelled by his executive experience, top name recognition in October 2025 surveys, and early fundraising dominance—including over $1 million in personal loans per January reports—positioning him as the establishment frontrunner in a crowded field. Businessman Philip Sarnecki trails at 21.5%, gaining traction as an outsider akin to Trump after sharp debate exchanges in the January 30 Wichita forum, while Senate President Ty Masterson secures 18.0% on legislative clout. Insurance Commissioner Vicki Schmidt holds 11.6% via statewide visibility. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, but the June 1 filing deadline and potential endorsements could reshape this closely contested primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen