State Rep. La Shawn Ford dominates trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win the open IL-07 Democratic primary, following Rep. Danny Davis's January 2025 retirement announcement and subsequent endorsement of Ford as his successor. This kingmaker nod from the 15-term incumbent, combined with Ford's early fundraising edge—over $250,000 raised—and a February SLF Strategies poll showing him at 37% versus 12% for nearest rival Richard Boykin, has locked in his frontrunner status among a crowded field including Kina Collins and Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Challenges could arise from a high-profile entrant like a county commissioner consolidating progressive support, a Ford scandal, or shifting polls ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertLa Shawn Ford 100.0%
Richard Boykin <1%
Kina Collins <1%
Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
Richard Boykin
Nein
Kina Collins
Nein
Melissa Conyears Ervin
Nein
Anthony Driver Jr.
Nein
David Ehrlich
Nein
Thomas Fisher
Nein
La Shawn Ford
Ja
Jason Friedman
Nein
Rory Hoskins
Nein
Anabel Mendoza
Nein
Jazmin Robinson
Nein
Reed Showalter
Nein
Felix Tello
Nein
La Shawn Ford 100.0%
Richard Boykin <1%
Kina Collins <1%
Melissa Conyears Ervin <1%
$16,420 Vol.
$16,420 Vol.
Richard Boykin
Nein
Kina Collins
Nein
Melissa Conyears Ervin
Nein
Anthony Driver Jr.
Nein
David Ehrlich
Nein
Thomas Fisher
Nein
La Shawn Ford
Ja
Jason Friedman
Nein
Rory Hoskins
Nein
Anabel Mendoza
Nein
Jazmin Robinson
Nein
Reed Showalter
Nein
Felix Tello
Nein
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 19, 2025, 2:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. La Shawn Ford dominates trader consensus at 100% implied probability to win the open IL-07 Democratic primary, following Rep. Danny Davis's January 2025 retirement announcement and subsequent endorsement of Ford as his successor. This kingmaker nod from the 15-term incumbent, combined with Ford's early fundraising edge—over $250,000 raised—and a February SLF Strategies poll showing him at 37% versus 12% for nearest rival Richard Boykin, has locked in his frontrunner status among a crowded field including Kina Collins and Melissa Conyears-Ervin. Challenges could arise from a high-profile entrant like a county commissioner consolidating progressive support, a Ford scandal, or shifting polls ahead of the March 2026 primary.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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