Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting consistent late-March polls showing the far-right party at 4-5% nationally—well ahead of DK (3%), MKKP (3-4%), and others below 2%. Independent surveys like 21 Kutatóközpont and Závecz Research place Tisza far ahead of incumbent Fidesz-KDNP for first and second, while pro-government polls like Nézőpont keep the top two close but affirm Mi Hazánk's edge over left-leaning rivals. This stability stems from Mi Hazánk's steady far-right base amid the polarized Fidesz-Tisza duel, positioning it as a potential kingmaker above the 5% list threshold. Upsets would require a late scandal, voter realignment to DK or MKKP, or turnout shifts favoring smaller parties—scenarios hindered by nine days remaining and entrenched polling trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 2.1%
MKKP 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$46,768 Vol.
$46,768 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
96%

DK
2%

MKKP
1%

Momentum
<1%

Fidesz-KDNP
<1%

MSZP
<1%

Párbeszéd
<1%

TISZA
<1%

Jobbik
<1%

LMP
<1%
Mi Hazánk 96%
DK 2.1%
MKKP 1.4%
Momentum <1%
$46,768 Vol.
$46,768 Vol.

Mi Hazánk
96%

DK
2%

MKKP
1%

Momentum
<1%

Fidesz-KDNP
<1%

MSZP
<1%

Párbeszéd
<1%

TISZA
<1%

Jobbik
<1%

LMP
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors Mi Hazánk for third place in Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting consistent late-March polls showing the far-right party at 4-5% nationally—well ahead of DK (3%), MKKP (3-4%), and others below 2%. Independent surveys like 21 Kutatóközpont and Závecz Research place Tisza far ahead of incumbent Fidesz-KDNP for first and second, while pro-government polls like Nézőpont keep the top two close but affirm Mi Hazánk's edge over left-leaning rivals. This stability stems from Mi Hazánk's steady far-right base amid the polarized Fidesz-Tisza duel, positioning it as a potential kingmaker above the 5% list threshold. Upsets would require a late scandal, voter realignment to DK or MKKP, or turnout shifts favoring smaller parties—scenarios hindered by nine days remaining and entrenched polling trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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