Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on this narrow range amid a warming trend. China Meteorological Administration data indicates recent daytime highs rose from 15–17°C earlier in the week, signaling advection of milder continental air masses replacing cooler East Asian winter patterns. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on cloud cover—partly sunny conditions could boost peaks to 21°C via enhanced insolation, while increased overcast or northerly winds might cap at 19°C—against late-March climatological averages of 16–18°C. Hourly observations and refreshed model runs today (March 28) will sharpen resolution prospects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Shanghai on March 29?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 29?
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
23°C or higher 17.6%
$64,091 Vol.
$64,091 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
18%
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
23°C or higher 17.6%
$64,091 Vol.
$64,091 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
16%
23°C or higher
18%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C for Shanghai Pudong International Airport's highest temperature on March 29, driven by the latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which converge on this narrow range amid a warming trend. China Meteorological Administration data indicates recent daytime highs rose from 15–17°C earlier in the week, signaling advection of milder continental air masses replacing cooler East Asian winter patterns. Differentiating factors include subtle model spreads on cloud cover—partly sunny conditions could boost peaks to 21°C via enhanced insolation, while increased overcast or northerly winds might cap at 19°C—against late-March climatological averages of 16–18°C. Hourly observations and refreshed model runs today (March 28) will sharpen resolution prospects.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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