Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 82-83°F on March 29, driven by National Weather Service forecasts anticipating a rapid rebound from today's post-cold frontal cooling. A cold front swept through late Friday (March 27), ushering northeasterly winds and capping March 28 highs in the upper 60s to 70s at key sites like Bush Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby (HOU) airports, but models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles project subsidence aloft and returning light southerly flow to boost heating under partly sunny skies. This aligns with recent March warmth—such as 82-83°F on March 26—amid a building upper ridge, though lingering clouds or onshore breezes introduce uncertainty favoring nearby 80-81°F (29%) bins. Evening NWS updates and early March 29 observations will refine resolution against official 1-minute ASOS data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Houston am 29. März?
Höchste Temperatur in Houston am 29. März?
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 7%
84-85°F 7%
$11,576 Vol.
$11,576 Vol.
73°F oder darunter
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
82-83°F 51%
80-81°F 27%
78-79°F 7%
84-85°F 7%
$11,576 Vol.
$11,576 Vol.
73°F oder darunter
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
51%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50.5% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 82-83°F on March 29, driven by National Weather Service forecasts anticipating a rapid rebound from today's post-cold frontal cooling. A cold front swept through late Friday (March 27), ushering northeasterly winds and capping March 28 highs in the upper 60s to 70s at key sites like Bush Intercontinental (IAH) and Hobby (HOU) airports, but models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles project subsidence aloft and returning light southerly flow to boost heating under partly sunny skies. This aligns with recent March warmth—such as 82-83°F on March 26—amid a building upper ridge, though lingering clouds or onshore breezes introduce uncertainty favoring nearby 80-81°F (29%) bins. Evening NWS updates and early March 29 observations will refine resolution against official 1-minute ASOS data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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