Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high near 78°F in Dallas on April 1, aligned with climatological normals of about 76°F, but with upside potential from GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts suggesting 82–84°F under a developing upper-level ridge and spring 2026 outlooks favoring above-normal temperatures across Texas due to transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. The fragmented probabilities across 70s–80s outcomes highlight high uncertainty from model spread, including risks of increased cloud cover, Gulf moisture influx, or a trailing cold front delaying mixing and capping highs below 75°F, versus clear skies and southerly winds boosting 84°F+. Watch daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model runs through March 31 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 1?
84°F oder höher 30%
76-77°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
9%
84°F oder höher
25%
84°F oder höher 30%
76-77°F 17%
80-81°F 12%
78-79°F 9%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
12%
82-83°F
9%
84°F oder höher
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 28, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance pointing to a high near 78°F in Dallas on April 1, aligned with climatological normals of about 76°F, but with upside potential from GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts suggesting 82–84°F under a developing upper-level ridge and spring 2026 outlooks favoring above-normal temperatures across Texas due to transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions. The fragmented probabilities across 70s–80s outcomes highlight high uncertainty from model spread, including risks of increased cloud cover, Gulf moisture influx, or a trailing cold front delaying mixing and capping highs below 75°F, versus clear skies and southerly winds boosting 84°F+. Watch daily NWS updates and 00Z/12Z model runs through March 31 for shifts in steering patterns and boundary layer conditions.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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