Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C high temperature in Chongqing today at 86% implied probability, anchored by morning observations from the official station showing persistent overcast skies and light rain capping midday readings near 15°C. Lingering frontal systems across southwest China have reduced solar insolation, aligning with recent daily highs of 15–17°C this week and late-March climatological averages around 17°C for the region. China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project minimal afternoon warming due to high cloud cover and southerly moisture flows, making sub-17°C outcomes dominant while higher thresholds require unlikely clearing. Updated hourly data later today could refine these market-implied odds ahead of end-of-day resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 28?
16°C 79.5%
17°C 9%
20°C 3.5%
21°C 3.0%
$47,462 Vol.
$47,462 Vol.
16°C
79%
17°C
9%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 79.5%
17°C 9%
20°C 3.5%
21°C 3.0%
$47,462 Vol.
$47,462 Vol.
16°C
79%
17°C
9%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 16°C high temperature in Chongqing today at 86% implied probability, anchored by morning observations from the official station showing persistent overcast skies and light rain capping midday readings near 15°C. Lingering frontal systems across southwest China have reduced solar insolation, aligning with recent daily highs of 15–17°C this week and late-March climatological averages around 17°C for the region. China Meteorological Administration bulletins and ECMWF/GFS model ensembles project minimal afternoon warming due to high cloud cover and southerly moisture flows, making sub-17°C outcomes dominant while higher thresholds require unlikely clearing. Updated hourly data later today could refine these market-implied odds ahead of end-of-day resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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