Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project Buenos Aires highs of 28-31°C on March 29, propelled by a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm continental air masses northward, elevating trader-implied odds for 29°C (28.5%), 30°C (24.0%), and 28°C (20.0%) amid inherent model spread. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a 30°C maximum with 40-70% chance of isolated thunderstorms, which could introduce cloud cover or convective cooling to favor lower outcomes like 28°C, while clearer skies under subsidence might push toward 31°C. Above March climatological averages (~25°C high), this setup reflects uncertainty in sea breeze moderation and afternoon instability; final resolution hinges on official measurements at Ministro Pistarini International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
29°C 29%
30°C 22%
28°C 17%
27°C 11.2%
$47,341 Vol.
$47,341 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
22%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
30°C 22%
28°C 17%
27°C 11.2%
$47,341 Vol.
$47,341 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
11%
28°C
17%
29°C
29%
30°C
22%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs project Buenos Aires highs of 28-31°C on March 29, propelled by a persistent upper-level ridge advecting warm continental air masses northward, elevating trader-implied odds for 29°C (28.5%), 30°C (24.0%), and 28°C (20.0%) amid inherent model spread. Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts a 30°C maximum with 40-70% chance of isolated thunderstorms, which could introduce cloud cover or convective cooling to favor lower outcomes like 28°C, while clearer skies under subsidence might push toward 31°C. Above March climatological averages (~25°C high), this setup reflects uncertainty in sea breeze moderation and afternoon instability; final resolution hinges on official measurements at Ministro Pistarini International Airport.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen