Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26 reached 28°C at the Aeroparque station, the primary reporting site for such records, aligning perfectly with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This measurement reflects mild autumn conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure system suppressing heat advection, consistent with recent forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that projected daytime highs in the upper 20s°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified data point, with negligible odds on higher temperatures due to the absence of heatwave indicators like northerly foehn winds. Only an improbable post hoc revision from SMN—such as equipment recalibration—could challenge resolution, though official finalization is expected imminently.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 26?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$97,383 Vol.
$97,383 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$97,383 Vol.
$97,383 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm Buenos Aires' highest temperature on March 26 reached 28°C at the Aeroparque station, the primary reporting site for such records, aligning perfectly with the market's 100% implied probability on this outcome. This measurement reflects mild autumn conditions influenced by a stable high-pressure system suppressing heat advection, consistent with recent forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs that projected daytime highs in the upper 20s°C amid light southerly winds and partial cloud cover. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, solidifies around this verified data point, with negligible odds on higher temperatures due to the absence of heatwave indicators like northerly foehn winds. Only an improbable post hoc revision from SMN—such as equipment recalibration—could challenge resolution, though official finalization is expected imminently.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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