Trader consensus prices Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial election over Republicans at 42%, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after term-limited Republican Gov. Brian Kemp's departure and the state's battleground status. Key factors include Democrats' competitive showings in recent U.S. Senate races—Jon Ossoff's 2021 special election win and Raphael Warnock's narrow 2022 victory—and metro Atlanta's growing blue tilt amid high turnout from diverse voting blocs. No major polls, candidate declarations, or campaign events have occurred in the past 30 days to shift odds, leaving positioning anchored to structural advantages like absent incumbency and historical patterns in purple-state open races. Primaries in May 2026 loom as potential catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$30,115 Vol.
$30,115 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
57%
Republikaner
42%
$30,115 Vol.
$30,115 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
$18,018 Vol.
57%
Republikaner
$12,097 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial election over Republicans at 42%, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after term-limited Republican Gov. Brian Kemp's departure and the state's battleground status. Key factors include Democrats' competitive showings in recent U.S. Senate races—Jon Ossoff's 2021 special election win and Raphael Warnock's narrow 2022 victory—and metro Atlanta's growing blue tilt amid high turnout from diverse voting blocs. No major polls, candidate declarations, or campaign events have occurred in the past 30 days to shift odds, leaving positioning anchored to structural advantages like absent incumbency and historical patterns in purple-state open races. Primaries in May 2026 loom as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$30,115Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial election over Republicans at 42%, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after term-limited Republican Gov. Brian Kemp's departure and the state's battleground status. Key factors include Democrats' competitive showings in recent U.S. Senate races—Jon Ossoff's 2021 special election win and Raphael Warnock's narrow 2022 victory—and metro Atlanta's growing blue tilt amid high turnout from diverse voting blocs. No major polls, candidate declarations, or campaign events have occurred in the past 30 days to shift odds, leaving positioning anchored to structural advantages like absent incumbency and historical patterns in purple-state open races. Primaries in May 2026 loom as potential catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$30,115Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 57.5% implied probability to win Georgia's 2026 gubernatorial election over Republicans at 42%, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after term-limited Republican Gov. Brian Kemp's departure and the state's battleground status. Key factors include Democrats' competitive showings in recent U.S. Senate races—Jon Ossoff's 2021 special election win and Raphael Warnock's narrow 2022 victory—and metro Atlanta's growing blue tilt amid high turnout from diverse voting blocs. No major polls, candidate declarations, or campaign events have occurred in the past 30 days to shift odds, leaving positioning anchored to structural advantages like absent incumbency and historical patterns in purple-state open races. Primaries in May 2026 loom as potential catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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