Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term limits end Ron DeSantis's tenure, with primary elections scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Recent May polling from multiple firms shows Republican primary leader Byron Donalds ahead of Democratic contenders such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings by margins of 6 to 9 points in head-to-head general election matchups, with 7 to 13 percent undecided. Florida's consistent Republican lean in statewide races, combined with the party's strong performance in the 2022 election cycle, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Key variables ahead include primary consolidation, voter turnout patterns, and any late shifts in economic or national political conditions that could narrow the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$18,863 Vol.
$18,863 Vol.

Republikaner
80%

Demokrat
20%
$18,863 Vol.
$18,863 Vol.

Republikaner
80%

Demokrat
20%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2026 gubernatorial contest features an open seat after term limits end Ron DeSantis's tenure, with primary elections scheduled for August 18 and the general election on November 3. Recent May polling from multiple firms shows Republican primary leader Byron Donalds ahead of Democratic contenders such as David Jolly or Jerry Demings by margins of 6 to 9 points in head-to-head general election matchups, with 7 to 13 percent undecided. Florida's consistent Republican lean in statewide races, combined with the party's strong performance in the 2022 election cycle, underpins the current trader consensus reflected in the market odds. Key variables ahead include primary consolidation, voter turnout patterns, and any late shifts in economic or national political conditions that could narrow the gap.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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