Trader sentiment in Polymarket's Fed rate cut timing market reflects the Federal Reserve's cautious stance after holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% during its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with updated dot plots signaling just one cut for the year amid revised-higher core PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7%. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, core at 2.46%, while unemployment held at 4.4% despite a 92,000 payroll decline, underscoring resilient but softening labor conditions. CME FedWatch implies 94-95% odds of an April 28-29 hold, with 2026 cut probabilities near 25%; key catalysts include upcoming March CPI and nonfarm payrolls data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$1,222,001 Vol.
April-Sitzung
2%
Juni-Sitzung
12%
Julisitzung
26%
September-Sitzung
44%
Oktober-Sitzung
51%
Dezember-Sitzung
63%
$1,222,001 Vol.
April-Sitzung
2%
Juni-Sitzung
12%
Julisitzung
26%
September-Sitzung
44%
Oktober-Sitzung
51%
Dezember-Sitzung
63%
If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 2:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no June meeting takes place by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate cuts will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in Polymarket's Fed rate cut timing market reflects the Federal Reserve's cautious stance after holding the federal funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% during its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, with updated dot plots signaling just one cut for the year amid revised-higher core PCE inflation forecasts to 2.7%. February CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year, core at 2.46%, while unemployment held at 4.4% despite a 92,000 payroll decline, underscoring resilient but softening labor conditions. CME FedWatch implies 94-95% odds of an April 28-29 hold, with 2026 cut probabilities near 25%; key catalysts include upcoming March CPI and nonfarm payrolls data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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