Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's sustained high-volume X posting pace through March 27, averaging roughly 34-45 posts daily amid variable output—including a peak of 83 on March 22—projecting a full-month total of 1320-1399 posts as most likely. The tight race between 1320-1359 (36%) and 1360-1399 (31.9%) stems from recent moderation in the March 20-27 window (237 posts over the period) versus earlier elevated activity around 25-60+ daily, leaving uncertainty with four days remaining. A late surge from Tesla production updates, SpaceX milestones, or high-engagement controversies could separate toward 1400+, while consistent moderate activity solidifies the leaders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert1320-1359 36.0%
1360-1399 31.7%
1280-1319 16.5%
1400+ 13.9%
$3,163,652 Vol.
$3,163,652 Vol.
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
1%
1280-1319
17%
1320-1359
36%
1360-1399
32%
1400+
14%
1320-1359 36.0%
1360-1399 31.7%
1280-1319 16.5%
1400+ 13.9%
$3,163,652 Vol.
$3,163,652 Vol.
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
1%
1280-1319
17%
1320-1359
36%
1360-1399
32%
1400+
14%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects Elon Musk's sustained high-volume X posting pace through March 27, averaging roughly 34-45 posts daily amid variable output—including a peak of 83 on March 22—projecting a full-month total of 1320-1399 posts as most likely. The tight race between 1320-1359 (36%) and 1360-1399 (31.9%) stems from recent moderation in the March 20-27 window (237 posts over the period) versus earlier elevated activity around 25-60+ daily, leaving uncertainty with four days remaining. A late surge from Tesla production updates, SpaceX milestones, or high-engagement controversies could separate toward 1400+, while consistent moderate activity solidifies the leaders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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