Post-Kamala Harris's 2024 election defeat, the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028 remains a wide-open field, with traders assigning California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 24% implied probability on Polymarket due to his executive experience governing the party's largest state, national fundraising dominance, and recent donor outreach in early primary states like New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive grassroots energy and social media savvy appealing to young voters, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects his youth and incumbency in battleground Georgia. Key differentiators include Newsom's centrist governance record versus AOC's activist base and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, potential backlash to a Trump administration, high-profile endorsements, or candidate scandals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDemokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
Demokratischer Präsidentschaftskandidat 2028
Gavin Newsom 24.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.2%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$914,559,818 Vol.
$914,559,818 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Jon Stewart
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Andy Beshear
2%

James Talarico
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Michelle Obama
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

John Fetterman
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Hunter Biden
1%
Gavin Newsom 24.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.3%
Jon Ossoff 6.2%
Kamala Harris 4.5%
$914,559,818 Vol.
$914,559,818 Vol.

Gavin Newsom
24%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
8%

Jon Ossoff
6%

Kamala Harris
4%

Josh Shapiro
4%

Pete Buttigieg
4%

J.B. Pritzker
3%

Jon Stewart
2%

Mark Kelly
2%

Andy Beshear
2%

James Talarico
2%

Ruben Gallego
2%

Wes Moore
2%

Ro Khanna
2%

Gretchen Whitmer
2%

Michelle Obama
1%

Chris Murphy
1%

Rahm Emanuel
1%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%

Stephen A. Smith
1%

Liz Cheney
1%

Mark Cuban
1%

Roy Cooper
1%

Oprah Winfrey
1%

Gina Raimondo
1%

Cory Booker
1%

Zohran Mamdani
1%

John Fetterman
1%

LeBron James
1%

MrBeast
1%

Hillary Clinton
1%

Barack Obama
1%

George Clooney
1%

Andrew Yang
1%

Kim Kardashian
1%

Jared Polis
1%

Phil Murphy
1%

Chelsea Clinton
1%

Jasmine Crockett
1%

Raphael Warnock
1%

Tim Walz
1%

Bernie Sanders
1%

Beto O’Rourke
1%

Hunter Biden
1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 11, 2025, 2:15 PM ET
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Abwickler
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Post-Kamala Harris's 2024 election defeat, the Democratic presidential nomination for 2028 remains a wide-open field, with traders assigning California Governor Gavin Newsom a leading 24% implied probability on Polymarket due to his executive experience governing the party's largest state, national fundraising dominance, and recent donor outreach in early primary states like New Hampshire. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez trails at 8% on her progressive grassroots energy and social media savvy appealing to young voters, while Jon Ossoff's 6% reflects his youth and incumbency in battleground Georgia. Key differentiators include Newsom's centrist governance record versus AOC's activist base and Ossoff's swing-state viability; consolidation could hinge on 2026 midterm results, potential backlash to a Trump administration, high-profile endorsements, or candidate scandals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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