Trader consensus prices Shin Yong-han at 78% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, propelled by his poll lead among Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) supporters—33.9% to Noh Yeong-min's 24.7% in a March 19-20 ARS survey—and advancement to the April 2-4 runoff after no candidate secured a majority in the March 25-27 primary first round. DPK's over 55% vote shares in recent local elections underscore its provincial edge against a People Power Party (PPP) hobbled by incumbent Kim Young-hwan's nomination exclusion, dropping party approval, and pending open primary. Noh at 13.5% reflects runoff competitiveness, while PPP hopefuls like Song Ki-sub trail amid uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in der Provinz Chungcheongbuk
Wahlsieger bei den Gouverneurswahlen in der Provinz Chungcheongbuk
Shin Yong-han 78%
Noh Yeong-min 13%
Song Ki-sub 8.1%
Cho Gil-hyeong 3.3%
$15,954 Vol.
$15,954 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
78%
Noh Yeong-min
13%
Song Ki-sub
8%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
Do Jong-hwan
1%
Shin Yong-han 78%
Noh Yeong-min 13%
Song Ki-sub 8.1%
Cho Gil-hyeong 3.3%
$15,954 Vol.
$15,954 Vol.
Shin Yong-han
78%
Noh Yeong-min
13%
Song Ki-sub
8%
Cho Gil-hyeong
3%
Kim Young-hwan
3%
Lee Jong-bae
2%
Yoon Hee-geun
2%
Do Jong-hwan
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Markt eröffnet: Nov 18, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Shin Yong-han at 78% implied probability to win the June 3 Chungcheongbuk-do gubernatorial election, propelled by his poll lead among Democratic Party of Korea (DPK) supporters—33.9% to Noh Yeong-min's 24.7% in a March 19-20 ARS survey—and advancement to the April 2-4 runoff after no candidate secured a majority in the March 25-27 primary first round. DPK's over 55% vote shares in recent local elections underscore its provincial edge against a People Power Party (PPP) hobbled by incumbent Kim Young-hwan's nomination exclusion, dropping party approval, and pending open primary. Noh at 13.5% reflects runoff competitiveness, while PPP hopefuls like Song Ki-sub trail amid uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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