China's Communist Party leadership has consolidated power through repeated anti-corruption drives and military personnel changes, ensuring firm control over the People's Liberation Army and internal security apparatus with no documented signs of organized dissent or factional challenges in recent years. This structural stability underpins the 96.8% implied probability against a coup attempt before 2027, as traders weigh the party's historical success in preventing such events since 1949 alongside ongoing surveillance and loyalty mechanisms. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen health issues affecting senior officials or sudden external pressures that expose internal divisions, though current evidence shows no such catalysts within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$127,681 Vol.
$127,681 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$127,681 Vol.
$127,681 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.China's Communist Party leadership has consolidated power through repeated anti-corruption drives and military personnel changes, ensuring firm control over the People's Liberation Army and internal security apparatus with no documented signs of organized dissent or factional challenges in recent years. This structural stability underpins the 96.8% implied probability against a coup attempt before 2027, as traders weigh the party's historical success in preventing such events since 1949 alongside ongoing surveillance and loyalty mechanisms. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen health issues affecting senior officials or sudden external pressures that expose internal divisions, though current evidence shows no such catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$127,681Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.China's Communist Party leadership has consolidated power through repeated anti-corruption drives and military personnel changes, ensuring firm control over the People's Liberation Army and internal security apparatus with no documented signs of organized dissent or factional challenges in recent years. This structural stability underpins the 96.8% implied probability against a coup attempt before 2027, as traders weigh the party's historical success in preventing such events since 1949 alongside ongoing surveillance and loyalty mechanisms. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen health issues affecting senior officials or sudden external pressures that expose internal divisions, though current evidence shows no such catalysts within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$127,683Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...China's Communist Party leadership has consolidated power through repeated anti-corruption drives and military personnel changes, ensuring firm control over the People's Liberation Army and internal security apparatus with no documented signs of organized dissent or factional challenges in recent years. This structural stability underpins the 96.8% implied probability against a coup attempt before 2027, as traders weigh the party's historical success in preventing such events since 1949 alongside ongoing surveillance and loyalty mechanisms. Potential shifts could arise from unforeseen health issues affecting senior officials or sudden external pressures that expose internal divisions, though current evidence shows no such catalysts within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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