Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the high trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior generals in early 2026, have extended longstanding anti-corruption efforts without producing verified factional resistance or institutional fractures. Elite appointments continue to prioritize loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress, while public appearances and policy continuity signal stable command structures. Although a sudden health event for the top leader or an unforeseen external shock could introduce volatility within the remaining timeframe, the absence of credible challenges to centralized control supports the current market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$127,683 Vol.
$127,683 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$127,683 Vol.
$127,683 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the high trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior generals in early 2026, have extended longstanding anti-corruption efforts without producing verified factional resistance or institutional fractures. Elite appointments continue to prioritize loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress, while public appearances and policy continuity signal stable command structures. Although a sudden health event for the top leader or an unforeseen external shock could introduce volatility within the remaining timeframe, the absence of credible challenges to centralized control supports the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$127,683Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the high trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior generals in early 2026, have extended longstanding anti-corruption efforts without producing verified factional resistance or institutional fractures. Elite appointments continue to prioritize loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress, while public appearances and policy continuity signal stable command structures. Although a sudden health event for the top leader or an unforeseen external shock could introduce volatility within the remaining timeframe, the absence of credible challenges to centralized control supports the current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$127,683Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army underpins the high trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent military leadership changes, including investigations into senior generals in early 2026, have extended longstanding anti-corruption efforts without producing verified factional resistance or institutional fractures. Elite appointments continue to prioritize loyalty ahead of the 21st Party Congress, while public appearances and policy continuity signal stable command structures. Although a sudden health event for the top leader or an unforeseen external shock could introduce volatility within the remaining timeframe, the absence of credible challenges to centralized control supports the current market pricing.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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