Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of authority through repeated purges of senior People’s Liberation Army officers has anchored trader consensus against any coup attempt before 2027. Recent expulsions of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and Joint Staff Department chief Liu Zhenli, along with other high-ranking generals cited for discipline violations and factionalism, underscore the party’s mechanisms for enforcing loyalty in a military explicitly subordinate to Communist Party rule. Ahead of the 2027 party congress, Xi has directed expanded security measures under the Peaceful China Initiative to mitigate internal risks. While purges have thinned the top command, they have also eliminated independent power centers without triggering organized resistance. Realistic shifts could stem from unforeseen health events affecting leadership, severe economic shocks sparking elite fractures, or abrupt external crises that expose command fractures, though no verified indicators currently point in that direction.
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