Trader sentiment on Canada Annual Inflation 2026 remains fragmented, with the 3.5-3.9% bin leading at 29.6% implied probability amid cooling headline CPI offset by energy price surges. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year from 2.3% prior, below consensus due to base effects from the GST/HST temporary cut's unwind, while BoC-preferred core measures (CPI-trim/median) dipped to 2.3%. However, oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel—fueled by Iran-related geopolitical tensions—signal upside risks, alongside food price pressures and potential tariff impacts. Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% in March, projecting inflation near 2% over the horizon, but traders price in above-target persistence. March CPI data, due April 20, looms as the pivotal near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKanada Jährliche Inflation 2026
Kanada Jährliche Inflation 2026
3,5–3,9 % 29.6%
3,0-3,4 % 14.2%
2,5–2,9 % 13.0%
4,0 %+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
<1,0 %
7%
1,0–1,4 %
<1%
1,5–1,9 %
5%
2,0–2,4 %
5%
2,5–2,9 %
16%
3,0-3,4 %
14%
3,5–3,9 %
30%
4,0 %+
14%
3,5–3,9 % 29.6%
3,0-3,4 % 14.2%
2,5–2,9 % 13.0%
4,0 %+ 10.6%
$15,800 Vol.
$15,800 Vol.
<1,0 %
7%
1,0–1,4 %
<1%
1,5–1,9 %
5%
2,0–2,4 %
5%
2,5–2,9 %
16%
3,0-3,4 %
14%
3,5–3,9 %
30%
4,0 %+
14%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Markt eröffnet: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on Canada Annual Inflation 2026 remains fragmented, with the 3.5-3.9% bin leading at 29.6% implied probability amid cooling headline CPI offset by energy price surges. February 2026 CPI eased to 1.8% year-over-year from 2.3% prior, below consensus due to base effects from the GST/HST temporary cut's unwind, while BoC-preferred core measures (CPI-trim/median) dipped to 2.3%. However, oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel—fueled by Iran-related geopolitical tensions—signal upside risks, alongside food price pressures and potential tariff impacts. Bank of Canada held its policy rate at 2.25% in March, projecting inflation near 2% over the horizon, but traders price in above-target persistence. March CPI data, due April 20, looms as the pivotal near-term catalyst.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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