Recent polls from Alpha Research and Gallup International (late March 2026) solidify trader consensus that GERB-SDS will secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, trailing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 28-31% while leading PP-DB and DPS-NN-NI at 10-12% in vote share under proportional representation. GERB-SDS's commanding position stems from its established center-right base, slight gains amid stable campaign dynamics, and the fragmented opposition following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption protests—marking Bulgaria's eighth snap vote since 2021. With odds exceeding 90%, challenges would require a late surge by PP-DB, DPS consolidation among Turkish voters, or a GERB scandal eroding its projected 64-70 seats.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertBulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
GERB-SDS 95%
PB 2.7%
PP–DB 1.9%
DPS <1%
$20,987 Vol.
$20,987 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
GERB-SDS
95%
PB
3%
PP–DB
2%
DPS
1%
MECh
1%
BSP
<1%
Velichie
<1%
ITN
<1%
APS
<1%
Wiedergeburt (Vazrazhdane)
<1%
GERB-SDS 95%
PB 2.7%
PP–DB 1.9%
DPS <1%
$20,987 Vol.
$20,987 Vol.
19. Apr. 2026
GERB-SDS
$10,410 Vol.
95%
PB
$1,090 Vol.
3%
PP–DB
$1,433 Vol.
2%
DPS
$758 Vol.
1%
MECh
$1,756 Vol.
1%
BSP
$933 Vol.
<1%
Velichie
$1,413 Vol.
<1%
ITN
$1,158 Vol.
<1%
APS
$1,308 Vol.
<1%
Wiedergeburt (Vazrazhdane)
$729 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research and Gallup International (late March 2026) solidify trader consensus that GERB-SDS will secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, trailing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 28-31% while leading PP-DB and DPS-NN-NI at 10-12% in vote share under proportional representation. GERB-SDS's commanding position stems from its established center-right base, slight gains amid stable campaign dynamics, and the fragmented opposition following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption protests—marking Bulgaria's eighth snap vote since 2021. With odds exceeding 90%, challenges would require a late surge by PP-DB, DPS consolidation among Turkish voters, or a GERB scandal eroding its projected 64-70 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Volumen
$20,987Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Recent polls from Alpha Research and Gallup International (late March 2026) solidify trader consensus that GERB-SDS will secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, trailing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 28-31% while leading PP-DB and DPS-NN-NI at 10-12% in vote share under proportional representation. GERB-SDS's commanding position stems from its established center-right base, slight gains amid stable campaign dynamics, and the fragmented opposition following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption protests—marking Bulgaria's eighth snap vote since 2021. With odds exceeding 90%, challenges would require a late surge by PP-DB, DPS consolidation among Turkish voters, or a GERB scandal eroding its projected 64-70 seats.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$20,987Enddatum
19. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 12:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Alpha Research and Gallup International (late March 2026) solidify trader consensus that GERB-SDS will secure second place in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, trailing Progressive Bulgaria (PB) at 28-31% while leading PP-DB and DPS-NN-NI at 10-12% in vote share under proportional representation. GERB-SDS's commanding position stems from its established center-right base, slight gains amid stable campaign dynamics, and the fragmented opposition following the Zhelyazkov government's December 2025 resignation amid corruption protests—marking Bulgaria's eighth snap vote since 2021. With odds exceeding 90%, challenges would require a late surge by PP-DB, DPS consolidation among Turkish voters, or a GERB scandal eroding its projected 64-70 seats.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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