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Präsidentschaftswahl in Bulgarien

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Präsidentschaftswahl in Bulgarien

Iliana Iotova 41%

Nikolai Denkov 22%

Rosen Plevneliew 9.8%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 10%

Polymarket

$59,899 Vol.

Iliana Iotova 41%

Nikolai Denkov 22%

Rosen Plevneliew 9.8%

Rosen Zhelyazkov 10%

Polymarket

$59,899 Vol.

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Iliana Iotova

$31,671 Vol.

41%

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Nikolai Denkov

$2,764 Vol.

22%

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Rosen Plevneliew

$727 Vol.

10%

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Rosen Zhelyazkov

$15,733 Vol.

10%

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Boyko Borissov

$1,320 Vol.

7%

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Blagomir Kotsev

$1,763 Vol.

6%

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Yanaki Stoilov

$1,409 Vol.

6%

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Vassil Terziev

$813 Vol.

3%

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Kostadin Kostadinov

$925 Vol.

1%

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Krum Zarkov

$695 Vol.

1%

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Delyan Peevski

$733 Vol.

1%

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Atanas Atanasov

$640 Vol.

10%

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Natalia Kiselova

$705 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, buoyed by her visibility in steering the caretaker government amid the political crisis that prompted former President Rumen Radev's January resignation and the April 19 snap parliamentary vote. Recent Alpha Research and Market Links polls show Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging to 30-32% in parliamentary voting intentions, fragmenting the field and pressuring reformist PP-DB (backing Nikolai Denkov at 22%) and GERB figures like Rosen Plevneliev (10%) or Boyko Borissov (7%). No dedicated presidential surveys have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds driven by incumbency advantages, historical base rates for sitting presidents (around 40% first-round viability), and uncertainty over post-parliamentary coalition nominations.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$59,899
Enddatum
30. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).Incumbent President Iliana Iotova leads trader consensus at 41% implied probability for Bulgaria's fall 2026 presidential election, buoyed by her visibility in steering the caretaker government amid the political crisis that prompted former President Rumen Radev's January resignation and the April 19 snap parliamentary vote. Recent Alpha Research and Market Links polls show Radev's new Progressive Bulgaria alliance surging to 30-32% in parliamentary voting intentions, fragmenting the field and pressuring reformist PP-DB (backing Nikolai Denkov at 22%) and GERB figures like Rosen Plevneliev (10%) or Boyko Borissov (7%). No dedicated presidential surveys have emerged in the past 30 days, leaving odds driven by incumbency advantages, historical base rates for sitting presidents (around 40% first-round viability), and uncertainty over post-parliamentary coalition nominations.

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).
Volumen
$59,899
Enddatum
30. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 19, 2026, 3:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Präsidentschaftswahl in Bulgarien" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 13 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Iliana Iotova" mit 41%, gefolgt von „Nikolai Denkov" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 41¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Präsidentschaftswahl in Bulgarien" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $59.9K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 19, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Präsidentschaftswahl in Bulgarien" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 13 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Präsidentschaftswahl in Bulgarien" ist „Iliana Iotova" mit 41%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 41% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Nikolai Denkov" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Präsidentschaftswahl in Bulgarien" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.