Trader consensus heavily favors Chun Jae-soo at 71% implied probability for the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election winner, reflecting his recent surge in local polls where he leads early preference surveys among People Power Party supporters by double digits over incumbent Park Heong-joon, priced at 28%. Chun's momentum stems from strong approval for his legislative record and endorsements from regional PPP figures, positioning him as the likely primary victor in the conservative stronghold of Busan. Park benefits from incumbency and past electoral wins but faces intra-party competition amid national PPP unity efforts. Democratic contenders like Lee Jae-sung trail far behind due to weaker regional polling, with upcoming primaries in early 2026 poised to clarify nominations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertChun Jae-soo 71%
Park Heong-joon 28%
Lee Jae-sung 1.4%
Choi In-ho <1%
$38,621 Vol.
$38,621 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
71%

Park Heong-joon
28%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Park Jae-ho
1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 71%
Park Heong-joon 28%
Lee Jae-sung 1.4%
Choi In-ho <1%
$38,621 Vol.
$38,621 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
71%

Park Heong-joon
28%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Park Jae-ho
1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Hong Soon-heon
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Chun Jae-soo at 71% implied probability for the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election winner, reflecting his recent surge in local polls where he leads early preference surveys among People Power Party supporters by double digits over incumbent Park Heong-joon, priced at 28%. Chun's momentum stems from strong approval for his legislative record and endorsements from regional PPP figures, positioning him as the likely primary victor in the conservative stronghold of Busan. Park benefits from incumbency and past electoral wins but faces intra-party competition amid national PPP unity efforts. Democratic contenders like Lee Jae-sung trail far behind due to weaker regional polling, with upcoming primaries in early 2026 poised to clarify nominations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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