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劳动力市场 预测与赔率

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Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

57%

Keith Sonderling

$41.1K 交易量

$42.4K Liq.

1

Ends 8 个月内

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

$6.3K 交易量

$1.0K Liq.

2

Ends 9 个月内

May Unemployment Rate

May Unemployment Rate

51%

4.3%

$110 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 27 天内

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

34%

5.0%

$380K 交易量

$18.0K Liq.

13

Ends 8 个月内

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

34%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$3.2K 交易量

$1.5K Liq.

1

Ends 9 个月内

April Inflation US - Annual

April Inflation US - Annual

39%

3.7%

$318K 交易量

$68.8K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

How many jobs added in May?

How many jobs added in May?

48%

200k+

$0 交易量

$607 Liq.

Ends 27 天内

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

85%

Up

$25.1K 交易量

$11.7K Liq.

Ends 10 个月内

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

32%

$4.6K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

1

Ends 22 天内

April Inflation US - Monthly

April Inflation US - Monthly

39%

0.6%

$60.1K 交易量

$35.2K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

57%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

123

Ends 大约 2 个月内

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

84%

↑ 14,000

$47.0K 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

4

Ends 8 个月内

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K 交易量

$111 Liq.

3

Ends 8 个月内

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

34%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K 交易量

$200 Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 11?

97%

$710

$306 交易量

$8.9K Liq.

Ends 3 天内

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

What price will Zcash hit in 2026?

67%

↑ 700

$228K 交易量

$7.2K Liq.

10

Ends 8 个月内

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K 交易量

$8.2K Liq.

5

Ends 8 个月内

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 8?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on May 8?

100%

$735

$78.2K 交易量

$78.0K today

$2M Liq.

Ends 大约 1 小时前

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

72%

December 31, 2027

$473K 交易量

$5.9K Liq.

33

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Labour wins ___ seats?

100%

400+

$95.9K 交易量

$25.1K Liq.

Ends 1 天前

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 劳动力市场 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 105 个活跃的 劳动力市场 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $4.4M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"MegaETH airdrop by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"MegaETH airdrop by...?",市场目前认为 December 31, 2026 的概率为 65%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 劳动力市场 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。